WON
Result: Zenit 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
DirectWinPredict Russia Premier League Zenit vs Akhmat Grozny
Z

Zenit

Home Side
D W D L W
6W 2D 2L
VS
2-0
Russia Premier League
A
Akhmat Grozny
Away Side
D L D L W
3W 5D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Zenit to win — Sunday, 26th April 2026
Best Odds 1.30
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 76.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
9
Zenit
0
Draws
1
Akhmat Grozny
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
3.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Zenit won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Zenit
Metric
Akhmat Grozny
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate Comparison
60%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
Z0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
Z1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
Z2
2-0 8.7%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
Z3
3-0 3.9%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
Z4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.9%) 2-0 (8.7%) 2-1 (8.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Z=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Zenit Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Akhmat Grozny Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Zenit
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
Akhmat Grozny
Overall
4.5
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.09.25CUP
Zenit2
Akhmat Grozny1
09.08.25PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit0
30.07.25CUP
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit2
24.05.25PL
Zenit3
Akhmat Grozny0
27.11.24CUP
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit2
10.11.24PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit2
06.11.24CUP
Zenit3
Akhmat Grozny0
19.05.24PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit5
28.10.23PL
Zenit2
Akhmat Grozny1
20.09.23CUP
Akhmat Grozny3
Zenit4
Recent Form
Zenit
22.04.26PL
Lokomotiv Moscow0
Zenit0
D
19.04.26PL
Dynamo Makhachkala0
Zenit1
W
12.04.26PL
Zenit1
Krasnodar1
D
08.04.26CUP
Zenit0
Spartak Moscow (0 - 0)1
L
04.04.26PL
Zenit2
Krylya Sovetov1
W
28.03.26CF
Zenit2
Kairat Almaty0
W
22.03.26PL
Dynamo Moscow1
Zenit3
W
18.03.26CUP
Zenit1
Dynamo Makhachkala0
W
14.03.26PL
Zenit2
Spartak Moscow0
W
08.03.26PL
Orenburg2
Zenit1
L
Akhmat Grozny
23.04.26PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Baltika1
D
19.04.26PL
Spartak Moscow3
Akhmat Grozny1
L
11.04.26PL
Krylya Sovetov2
Akhmat Grozny2
D
04.04.26PL
Akhmat Grozny0
Krasnodar1
L
21.03.26PL
Akhmat Grozny1
FK Rostov0
W
15.03.26PL
Akron Togliatti1
Akhmat Grozny1
D
09.03.26PL
Lokomotiv Moscow2
Akhmat Grozny2
D
01.03.26PL
Akhmat Grozny1
CSKA Moscow0
W
18.02.26CF
Baltika2
Akhmat Grozny2
D
14.02.26CF
Akhmat Grozny3
OKMK2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Russia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zenit vs Akhmat Grozny?
Our selection is 1 — Zenit to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Zenit's current form?
Zenit have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Akhmat Grozny been performing recently?
Akhmat Grozny have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zenit lead with 9 wins versus Akhmat Grozny's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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