WON
Result: Viking 3-0 Rosenborg
DirectWinPredict Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Rosenborg
V

Viking

Home Side
W W W W W
8W 0D 2L
VS
3-0
Norway Eliteserien
R
Rosenborg
Away Side
D D W L W
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Viking to win — Friday, 1st May 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Viking to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-15.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Viking
1
Draws
4
Rosenborg
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.8
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Viking won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Viking
Metric
Rosenborg
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheet %
10%
8-0-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
V0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.5%) 2-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Viking Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rosenborg Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Viking
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
Rosenborg
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
31.08.25ELI
Viking2
Rosenborg1
28.06.25ELI
Rosenborg1
Viking1
16.03.25CF
Viking3
Rosenborg2
18.08.24ELI
Rosenborg2
Viking1
30.06.24ELI
Viking4
Rosenborg2
24.03.24CF
Viking5
Rosenborg0
03.12.23ELI
Viking1
Rosenborg5
10.04.23ELI
Rosenborg1
Viking0
12.03.23NMC
Viking2
Rosenborg0
04.09.22ELI
Rosenborg4
Viking1
Recent Form
Viking
25.04.26ELI
Fredrikstad1
Viking2
W
18.04.26ELI
Viking3
Brann2
W
11.04.26ELI
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
W
06.04.26ELI
Valerenga0
Viking1
W
25.03.26CF
Viking3
Haugesund0
W
21.03.26ELI
Viking4
Molde1
W
18.03.26NMC
Viking1
Aalesund2
L
14.03.26ELI
HamKam2
Viking1
L
07.03.26NMC
Bjarg0
Viking3
W
01.03.26CF
Viking2
Sarpsborg 080
W
Rosenborg
25.04.26ELI
Rosenborg1
Brann1
D
18.04.26ELI
Sandefjord0
Rosenborg0
D
12.04.26ELI
Rosenborg2
Sarpsborg 081
W
06.04.26ELI
Tromso2
Rosenborg0
L
26.03.26CF
Rosenborg4
Stjordals Blink1
W
22.03.26ELI
Rosenborg0
Valerenga2
L
14.03.26ELI
Molde2
Rosenborg0
L
08.03.26NMC
Bryne4
Rosenborg - L (aet)2
27.02.26CF
Rosenborg0
Valerenga1
L
24.02.26CF
Rosenborg2
Start1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Viking host Rosenborg in Norway Eliteserien. We recommend Viking to win as the standout selection.

Viking arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rosenborg are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Viking, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rosenborg's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: viking to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Norway Eliteserien game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.35 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Viking vs Rosenborg?
Our selection is 1 — Viking to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Viking's current form?
Viking have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rosenborg been performing recently?
Rosenborg have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viking lead with 5 wins versus Rosenborg's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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