PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Club Friendly Unterhaching vs Regensburg
U

Unterhaching

Home Side
W L L W W
6W 0D 4L
VS
10:00 am
Club Friendly
R
Regensburg
Away Side
D W L L W
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Thursday, 9th July 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 80%
Implied Prob 72.5%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Implied Prob
72.5%
Based on 1.38 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+7.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
27.4%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Unterhaching
1
Draws
8
Regensburg
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Unterhaching
Metric
Regensburg
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-0-4
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
60%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
U0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 5.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
U1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
U2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
U3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
U4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
U5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.7%) 2-1 (9.2%) 1-2 (7.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · U=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Unterhaching
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
Regensburg
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
11.07.25CF
Regensburg1
Unterhaching2
11.01.25CF
Unterhaching1
Regensburg4
05.09.24CF
Regensburg5
Unterhaching1
08.01.24CF
Regensburg3
Unterhaching1
19.12.233LIG
Unterhaching1
Regensburg2
05.08.233LIG
Regensburg1
Unterhaching1
14.11.19CF
Unterhaching3
Regensburg4
21.07.18CF
Regensburg1
Unterhaching0
22.11.15RL
Regensburg2
Unterhaching1
25.07.15RL
Unterhaching0
Regensburg2
Recent Form
Unterhaching
16.05.26RL
Unterhaching4
Burghausen0
W
09.05.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Unterhaching0
L
02.05.26RL
Unterhaching1
Memmingen2
L
24.04.26RL
Bayreuth2
Unterhaching3
W
21.04.26RL
Unterhaching3
Hankofen-Hailing0
W
18.04.26RL
Furth II1
Unterhaching2
W
11.04.26RL
Unterhaching5
Schwaben Augsburg0
W
06.04.26RL
Aschaffenburg0
Unterhaching3
W
02.04.26RL
Unterhaching0
Buchbach1
L
24.03.26RL
Ansbach1
Unterhaching0
L
Regensburg
06.07.26CF
FC Schwaig2
Regensburg2
D
03.07.26CF
Ried2
Regensburg4
W
16.05.263LIG
Regensburg0
Cottbus1
L
09.05.263LIG
Mannheim1
Regensburg0
L
02.05.263LIG
Regensburg2
Hoffenheim II1
W
25.04.263LIG
Hansa Rostock2
Regensburg5
W
17.04.263LIG
Regensburg1
Alemannia Aachen3
L
12.04.263LIG
Munich 18602
Regensburg2
D
07.04.263LIG
Regensburg1
Aue0
W
04.04.263LIG
Stuttgart II3
Regensburg1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 9th July 2026, Unterhaching host Regensburg at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Unterhaching arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Regensburg are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Unterhaching, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Regensburg's 8, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Club Friendly preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.38, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 10:00 am.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Unterhaching vs Regensburg?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Unterhaching's current form?
Unterhaching have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Regensburg been performing recently?
Regensburg have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Unterhaching lead with 1 wins versus Regensburg's 8, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.