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Result: Thor/KA W 2-0 Throttur W
DirectWinPredict Iceland Besta deild Women Thor/KA W vs Throttur W
T

Thor/KA W

Home Side
D L L L L
1W 3D 6L
VS
2-0
7:00 pm
Iceland Besta deild Women
T
Throttur W
Away Side
W D W L W
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Throttur W to win — Monday, 22nd June 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 71.9%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Head to Head Record
4
Thor/KA W
1
Draws
5
Throttur W
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Throttur W won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Thor/KA W
Metric
Throttur W
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.5
Goals Against / Game
0.9
10%
Clean Sheet %
40%
1-3-6
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
10%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 7.8%
0-3 5.2%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.0%
T1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.3%
T2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
T3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 2.5%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.7%) 0-1 (7.8%) 0-2 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Thor/KA W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Throttur W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Thor/KA W
Overall
1.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
1.7
Throttur W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
14.02.26CUP
Throttur W3
Thor/KA1
12.09.25BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur1
07.06.25BD
Throttur W2
Thor/KA0
15.02.25CUP
Throttur W2
Thor/KA1
29.09.24BD
Throttur W0
Thor/KA0
07.07.24BD
Throttur W2
Thor/KA4
02.05.24BD
Thor/KA W2
Throttur1
02.03.24CUP
Thor/KA W6
Throttur2
17.09.23BD
Throttur W0
Thor/KA2
29.07.23BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur4
Recent Form
Thor/KA W
13.06.26BD
Valur W0
Thor/KA W0
D
30.05.26BD
Thor/KA W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W6
L
25.05.26BD
Fram W3
Thor/KA W2
L
20.05.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik W3
L
15.05.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Stjarnan W4
L
10.05.26BD
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W2
Thor/KA W0
L
06.05.26BD
Thor/KA W2
Stjarnan W2
D
30.04.26BD
Grindavik/Njardvik W2
Thor/KA W1
L
25.04.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Hafnarfjordur W1
D
10.03.26CUP
Thor/KA W4
Hafnarfjordur W2
W
Throttur W
18.06.26CUP
Throttur W1
Vikingur Reykjavik W0
W
13.06.26BD
Throttur W0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W0
D
29.05.26BD
Valur W0
Throttur W1
W
25.05.26BD
Throttur W0
Stjarnan W1
L
20.05.26BD
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
Throttur W4
W
16.05.26CUP
Throttur W3
Breidablik W2
W
11.05.26BD
Throttur W1
Grindavik/Njardvik W2
L
05.05.26BD
Fram W0
Throttur W3
W
30.04.26BD
Throttur W2
Hafnarfjordur W1
W
24.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Throttur W0
L
Thor/KA W (Home)
30.05.26BD
Thor/KA W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W6
L
20.05.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik W3
L
15.05.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Stjarnan W4
L
06.05.26BD
Thor/KA W2
Stjarnan W2
D
25.04.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Hafnarfjordur W1
D
10.03.26CUP
Thor/KA W4
Hafnarfjordur W2
W
21.02.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Grindavik/Njardvik W0
W
09.10.25BD
Thor/KA W1
Fram W1
D
25.09.25BD
Thor/KA W3
Tindastoll W0
W
12.09.25BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur W1
L
Throttur W (Away)
29.05.26BD
Valur W0
Throttur W1
W
20.05.26BD
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
Throttur W4
W
05.05.26BD
Fram W0
Throttur W3
W
24.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Throttur W0
L
14.03.26CUP
FHL W0
Throttur W10
W
27.02.26CUP
Stjarnan W5
Throttur W0
L
11.10.25BD
Stjarnan W0
Throttur W1
W
05.10.25BD
Hafnarfjordur W4
Throttur W0
L
12.09.25BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur W1
W
28.08.25BD
Hafnarfjordur W3
Throttur W0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Thor/KA W host Throttur W at Thorsvollur (Akureyri) in Iceland Besta deild Women. We recommend Throttur W to win as the standout selection.

Thor/KA W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Throttur W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Thor/KA W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Throttur W's 5, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: throttur w to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Iceland Besta deild Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Thorsvollur (Akureyri), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.39, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

 

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Thor/KA W vs Throttur W?
Our selection is 2 — Throttur W to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Thor/KA W's current form?
Thor/KA W have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Throttur W been performing recently?
Throttur W have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Thor/KA W lead with 4 wins versus Throttur W's 5, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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