PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Lithuania TopLyga Suduva vs Transinvest
S

Suduva

Home Side
W W W D W
5W 4D 1L
VS
4:45 pm
Lithuania TopLyga
T
Transinvest
Away Side
W L L W W
5W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Monday, 6th July 2026
Best Odds 1.23
Confidence 83%
Implied Prob 81.3%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals68% Over 1.5 Goals89% BTTS — Yes79%
Implied Prob
81.3%
Based on 1.23 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+1.7%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
9.1%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Suduva
3
Draws
1
Transinvest
8
Meetings
38%
BTTS Rate
25%
Over 2.5
2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 63% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Suduva
Metric
Transinvest
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.8
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
22%
5-4-1
W — D — L
5-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
50%
56%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
S0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
S1
1-0 8.5%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
S2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.9%) 0-1 (8.5%) 1-0 (8.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Suduva
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
Transinvest
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.9
Defence
5.9
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
06.05.26TL
Transinvest1
Suduva1
07.03.26TL
Suduva2
Transinvest0
01.02.25CF
Suduva3
Transinvest1
06.10.24TL
Suduva0
Transinvest0
20.07.24TL
Transinvest2
Suduva2
24.05.24TL
Suduva0
Transinvest1
07.04.24TL
Transinvest0
Suduva2
19.02.23CF
Suduva1
Transinvest0
Recent Form
Suduva
29.06.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Suduva2
W
21.06.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai1
Suduva2
W
16.06.26TL
Suduva2
FA Siauliai1
W
13.06.26TL
Suduva0
Banga0
D
29.05.26TL
Riteriai0
Suduva3
W
23.05.26TL
Suduva2
Kauno Zalgiris1
W
16.05.26TL
Hegelmann2
Suduva2
D
10.05.26TL
Suduva1
Zalgiris1
D
06.05.26TL
Transinvest1
Suduva1
D
02.05.26TL
FA Siauliai2
Suduva1
L
Transinvest
29.06.26TL
FA Siauliai1
Transinvest3
W
20.06.26TL
Transinvest1
Kauno Zalgiris2
L
12.06.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Transinvest2
W
29.05.26TL
Transinvest2
Hegelmann1
W
24.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai3
Transinvest2
L
20.05.26CUP
Transinvest2
Hegelmann0
W
17.05.26TL
Transinvest1
Zalgiris0
W
10.05.26TL
Banga2
Transinvest2
D
06.05.26TL
Transinvest1
Suduva1
D
Suduva (Home)
16.06.26TL
Suduva2
FA Siauliai1
W
13.06.26TL
Suduva0
Banga0
D
23.05.26TL
Suduva2
Kauno Zalgiris1
W
10.05.26TL
Suduva1
Zalgiris1
D
25.04.26TL
Suduva1
FK Panevezys0
W
19.04.26TL
Suduva3
Dziugas Telsiai2
W
03.04.26TL
Suduva5
Riteriai0
W
14.03.26TL
Suduva0
Hegelmann0
D
07.03.26TL
Suduva2
Transinvest0
W
01.03.26TL
Suduva0
FA Siauliai0
D
Transinvest (Away)
29.06.26TL
FA Siauliai1
Transinvest3
W
12.06.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Transinvest2
W
24.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai3
Transinvest2
L
10.05.26TL
Banga2
Transinvest2
D
02.05.26TL
Riteriai0
Transinvest5
W
26.04.26TL
FA Siauliai0
Transinvest4
W
22.04.26CUP
Kursenai1
Transinvest10
W
18.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris1
Transinvest2
W
04.04.26TL
Hegelmann3
Transinvest1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 6th July 2026, Suduva host Transinvest at Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole) in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Suduva arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Transinvest are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 2L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Suduva, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Transinvest's 1, with 3 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 38% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Lithuania TopLyga preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.23, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 4:45 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Suduva vs Transinvest?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 83%.
What is Suduva's current form?
Suduva have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Transinvest been performing recently?
Transinvest have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Suduva lead with 4 wins versus Transinvest's 1, with 3 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 38%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.