WON
Result: Stjarnan W 3-0 Fram W
DirectWinPredict Iceland Besta deild Women Stjarnan W vs Fram W
S

Stjarnan W

Home Side
L W W W D
5W 2D 3L
VS
3-0
8:15 pm
Iceland Besta deild Women
F
Fram W
Away Side
W L L W D
3W 1D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 22nd June 2026
Best Odds 1.28
Confidence 77%
Implied Prob 78.1%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.28
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
78.1%
Based on 1.28 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-1.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Stjarnan W
0
Draws
1
Fram W
2
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Stjarnan W
Metric
Fram W
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
50%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
S0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.3%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
S2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.4%) 2-1 (9.2%) 1-2 (6.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   F=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Stjarnan W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Fram W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.09.25BD
Stjarnan W3
Fram1
07.06.25BD
Fram W3
Stjarnan1
Recent Form
Stjarnan W
18.06.26CUP
Grindavik/Njardvik W2
Stjarnan W (AET)1
L
13.06.26BD
Breidablik W1
Stjarnan W3
W
30.05.26BD
Stjarnan W2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W0
W
25.05.26BD
Throttur W0
Stjarnan W1
W
20.05.26BD
Grindavik/Njardvik W1
Stjarnan W1
D
15.05.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Stjarnan W4
W
10.05.26BD
Stjarnan W1
Hafnarfjordur W2
L
06.05.26BD
Thor/KA W2
Stjarnan W2
D
29.04.26BD
Stjarnan W2
Valur W0
W
24.04.26BD
Vikingur Reykjavik W2
Stjarnan W1
L
Fram W
17.06.26CUP
FHL W1
Fram W7
W
13.06.26BD
Fram W0
Grindavik/Njardvik W2
L
30.05.26BD
Hafnarfjordur W6
Fram W2
L
25.05.26BD
Fram W3
Thor/KA W2
W
20.05.26BD
Valur W0
Fram W0
D
15.05.26CUP
Fram W3
Akranes W0
W
11.05.26BD
Fram W0
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
L
05.05.26BD
Fram W0
Throttur W3
L
29.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Fram W0
L
25.04.26BD
Fram W3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W4
L
Stjarnan W (Home)
30.05.26BD
Stjarnan W2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W0
W
10.05.26BD
Stjarnan W1
Hafnarfjordur W2
L
29.04.26BD
Stjarnan W2
Valur W0
W
20.03.26CUP
Stjarnan W1
Breidablik W6
L
27.02.26CUP
Stjarnan W5
Throttur W0
W
16.02.26CUP
Stjarnan W1
Hafnarfjordur W3
L
07.02.26CUP
Stjarnan W5
Thor/KA W3
W
11.10.25BD
Stjarnan W0
Throttur W1
L
01.10.25BD
Stjarnan W3
Hafnarfjordur W4
L
12.09.25BD
Stjarnan W3
Fram W1
W
Fram W (Away)
17.06.26CUP
FHL W1
Fram W7
W
30.05.26BD
Hafnarfjordur W6
Fram W2
L
20.05.26BD
Valur W0
Fram W0
D
29.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Fram W0
L
09.03.26CUP
Valur W1
Fram W2
W
09.02.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik W7
Fram W0
L
09.10.25BD
Thor/KA W1
Fram W1
D
12.09.25BD
Stjarnan W3
Fram W1
L
04.09.25BD
Tindastoll W1
Fram W0
L
30.08.25BD
Thor/KA W1
Fram W2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Stjarnan W host Fram W at Stjörnuvöllur (Reykjavík) in Iceland Besta deild Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Stjarnan W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Fram W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Stjarnan W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Fram W's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Iceland Besta deild Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Stjörnuvöllur (Reykjavík), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.28, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 8:15 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

 

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Stjarnan W vs Fram W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Stjarnan W's current form?
Stjarnan W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fram W been performing recently?
Fram W have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stjarnan W lead with 1 wins versus Fram W's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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