WON

Result: St Pauli 0-5 Bayern Munich

St Pauli

Home Side

D L L D W

3W 2D 5L

0-5

Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

Away Side

W W W W D

9W 1D 0L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Bayern Munich to win — Saturday, 11th April 2026

Best Odds 1.36

Confidence 77%

Implied Prob 73.5%

20%

60%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Bayern Munich to win

1.36

Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

73.5%

Based on 1.36 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+3.5%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

13.1%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

St Pauli

Draws

Bayern Munich

Meetings

56%

BTTS Rate

78%

Over 2.5

3.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Bayern Munich won 8 of 9 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

St Pauli

Metric

Bayern Munich

0.8

Goals For / Game

3.3

1.6

Goals Against / Game

1.1

20%

Clean Sheet %

20%

3-2-5

W — D — L

9-1-0

Win Rate Comparison

30%

90%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.3%

0-1 8.2%

0-2 10.0%

0-3 8.2%

0-4 5.0%

0-5 2.5%

1-0 3.2%

1-1 7.8%

1-2 9.5%

1-3 7.8%

1-4 4.8%

1-5 2.3%

2-0 1.5%

2-1 3.7%

2-2 4.5%

2-3 3.7%

2-4 2.3%

2-5 1.1%

3-0 0.5%

3-1 1.2%

3-2 1.4%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.7%

3-5 0.4%

4-0 0.1%

4-1 0.3%

4-2 0.3%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (10.0%) 1-2 (9.5%) 0-1 (8.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ B=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

St Pauli Win

20%

Draw

20%

Bayern Munich Win

60%

1.67

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

St Pauli

Overall

3.6 ▲

Scoring

2.7 ▲

Defence

4.7 ▲

Bayern Munich

Overall

9.3 ▲

Scoring

10.0 ▲

Defence

6.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Home Win & BTTS No 8%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 4%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 44%

Away Win & BTTS No 23%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 17%

Home Win & Under 2.5 6%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 50%

Away Win & Under 2.5 17%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

29.11.25

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich3

St. Pauli1

29.03.25

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich3

St. Pauli2

09.11.24

Bundesliga: St. Pauli0

Bayern Munich1

07.05.11

Bundesliga: St. Pauli1

Bayern Munich8

11.12.10

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich3

St. Pauli0

09.09.06

DFB-Pokal: St. Pauli1

Bayern Munich (AET)2

12.04.06

DFB-Pokal: St. Pauli0

Bayern Munich3

06.02.02

Bundesliga: St. Pauli2

Bayern Munich1

18.08.01

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich2

St. Pauli0

Recent Form

St Pauli

05.04.26

Bundesliga: Union Berlin1

St. Pauli1

22.03.26

Bundesliga: St. Pauli1

SC Freiburg2

13.03.26

Bundesliga: B. M’gladbach2

St. Pauli0

08.03.26

Bundesliga: St. Pauli0

Eintracht Frankfurt0

28.02.26

Bundesliga: TSG Hoffenheim0

St. Pauli1

22.02.26

Bundesliga: St. Pauli2

Werder Bremen1

14.02.26

Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen4

St. Pauli0

07.02.26

Bundesliga: St. Pauli2

VfB Stuttgart1

03.02.26

DFB-Pokal (QF): Bayer Leverkusen3

St. Pauli0

31.01.26

Bundesliga: FC Augsburg2

St. Pauli1

Bayern Munich

07.04.26

Champions League (QF): Real Madrid1

Bayern Munich2

04.04.26

Bundesliga: SC Freiburg2

Bayern Munich3

21.03.26

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich4

Union Berlin0

18.03.26

Champions League (R16): Bayern Munich4

Atalanta1

14.03.26

Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen1

Bayern Munich1

10.03.26

Champions League (R16): Atalanta1

Bayern Munich6

06.03.26

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich4

B. M’gladbach1

28.02.26

Bundesliga: Borussia Dortmund2

Bayern Munich3

21.02.26

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich3

Eintracht Frankfurt2

14.02.26

Bundesliga: Werder Bremen0

Bayern Munich3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bundesliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.36 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for St Pauli vs Bayern Munich?

Our selection is 2 — Bayern Munich to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 77%.

What is St Pauli's current form?

St Pauli have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.

How has Bayern Munich been performing recently?

Bayern Munich have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

St Pauli lead with 1 wins versus Bayern Munich's 8, with 0 draws across 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.

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