WON
Result: Slovenia 1-1 Cyprus
DirectWinPredict International Friendly Slovenia vs Cyprus
S

Slovenia

Home Side
W L D L D
3W 4D 3L
VS
1-1
International Friendly
C
Cyprus
Away Side
W L L L W
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Thursday, 4th June 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 81%
Implied Prob 75.8%
Head to Head Record
5
Slovenia
2
Draws
2
Cyprus
9
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
56%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 78% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Slovenia
Metric
Cyprus
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheet %
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
30%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 6.1%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
S1
1-0 9.1%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 3.7%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.3%
S2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (12.3%) 0-1 (9.1%) 1-0 (9.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Slovenia
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.0
Cyprus
Overall
2.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
14.11.21WC
Slovenia2
Cyprus1
30.03.21WC
Cyprus1
Slovenia0
16.10.18UNL
Slovenia1
Cyprus1
09.09.18UNL
Cyprus2
Slovenia1
10.09.13WC
Cyprus0
Slovenia2
12.10.12WC
Slovenia2
Cyprus1
28.02.06FI
Cyprus0
Slovenia1
11.10.03EUR
Cyprus2
Slovenia2
02.04.03EUR
Slovenia4
Cyprus1
Recent Form
Slovenia
31.03.26FI
Montenegro2
Slovenia3
W
28.03.26FI
Hungary1
Slovenia0
L
18.11.25WC
Sweden1
Slovenia1
D
15.11.25WC
Slovenia0
Kosovo2
L
13.10.25WC
Slovenia0
Switzerland0
D
10.10.25WC
Kosovo0
Slovenia0
D
08.09.25WC
Switzerland3
Slovenia0
L
05.09.25WC
Slovenia2
Sweden2
D
10.06.25FI
Slovenia2
Bosnia & Herzegovina1
W
06.06.25FI
Luxembourg0
Slovenia1
W
Cyprus
30.03.26FI
Cyprus3
Moldova2
W
26.03.26FI
Cyprus0
Belarus1
L
18.11.25FI
Cyprus2
Estonia4
L
15.11.25WC
Cyprus0
Austria2
L
12.10.25WC
San Marino0
Cyprus4
W
09.10.25WC
Cyprus2
Bosnia & Herzegovina2
D
09.09.25WC
Cyprus2
Romania2
D
06.09.25WC
Austria1
Cyprus0
L
10.06.25WC
Romania2
Cyprus0
L
06.06.25FI
Bulgaria2
Cyprus2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this International Friendly game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Slovenia vs Cyprus?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Slovenia's current form?
Slovenia have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cyprus been performing recently?
Cyprus have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Slovenia lead with 5 wins versus Cyprus's 2, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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