PENDING
Result: 2 — KTP to win
DirectWinPredict › Finland Ykkosliiga› SJK Akatemia vs KTP
S

SJK Akatemia

Home Side
1W 3D 6L
VS
—
2:00 pm
—
K
KTP
Away Side
8W 2D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing KTP to win — Sunday, 11th October 2026
Best Odds 1.36
Confidence 80%
Implied Prob 73.5%
⚡ Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — KTP to win
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
73.5%
Based on 1.36 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+6.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
24.4%
Suggested % of bankroll
⚔ Head to Head Record
0
SJK Akatemia
2
Draws
8
KTP
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick KTP won 8 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
SJK Akatemia
Metric
KTP
1
Goals For / Game
2
2.1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheet %
50%
1-3-6
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate Comparison
10%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
S0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 11.3%
0-2 11.6%
0-3 7.9%
0-4 4.1%
0-5 1.7%
S1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 6.7%
1-4 3.4%
1-5 1.4%
S2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.6%
S3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.2%
3-2 1.2%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (11.6%) 0-1 (11.3%) 1-2 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
SJK Akatemia
Overall
1.9 ▲
Scoring
3.3 ▲
Defence
3.0 ▲
KTP
Overall
8.6 —
Scoring
6.7 —
Defence
7.7 —
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 5%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 31%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
31.07.26YKS
KTP2
SJK Akatemia1
29.05.26YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
07.03.26YKC
SJK Akatemia1
KTP2
19.08.24YKS
KTP3
SJK Akatemia3
20.06.24YKS
SJK Akatemia0
KTP3
24.04.24YKS
KTP5
SJK Akatemia1
12.08.22YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
11.06.22YKS
SJK Akatemia1
KTP1
07.09.20YKS
KTP4
SJK Akatemia0
04.07.20YKS
SJK Akatemia0
KTP3
Recent Form
SJK Akatemia
26.09.26YKS
Ekenas1
SJK Akatemia1
D
19.09.26YKS
SJK Akatemia2
KaPa3
L
12.09.26YKS
Mikkeli1
SJK Akatemia1
D
06.09.26YKS
SJK Akatemia2
JaPS3
L
30.08.26YKS
SJK Akatemia2
Klubi 046
L
21.08.26YKS
Haka2
SJK Akatemia0
L
15.08.26YKS
Jippo0
SJK Akatemia1
W
08.08.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
PK-353
L
31.07.26YKS
KTP2
SJK Akatemia1
L
25.07.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Ekenas0
D
KTP
25.09.26YKS
KTP1
Mikkeli1
D
19.09.26YKS
PK-350
KTP3
W
11.09.26YKS
KTP3
JaPS0
W
04.09.26YKS
Jippo0
KTP2
W
28.08.26YKS
KTP2
Haka1
W
22.08.26YKS
Ekenas0
KTP1
W
15.08.26YKS
KTP2
KaPa1
W
09.08.26YKS
Klubi 040
KTP1
W
31.07.26YKS
KTP2
SJK Akatemia1
W
25.07.26YKS
Mikkeli3
KTP3
D
SJK Akatemia (Home)
19.09.26YKS
SJK Akatemia2
KaPa3
L
06.09.26YKS
SJK Akatemia2
JaPS3
L
30.08.26YKS
SJK Akatemia2
Klubi 046
L
08.08.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
PK-353
L
25.07.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Ekenas0
D
11.07.26YKS
SJK Akatemia1
Mikkeli1
D
15.06.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Haka2
L
09.06.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Jippo0
D
26.05.26CUP
SJK Akatemia0
SJK5
L
22.05.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Haka1
L
KTP (Away)
19.09.26YKS
PK-350
KTP3
W
04.09.26YKS
Jippo0
KTP2
W
22.08.26YKS
Ekenas0
KTP1
W
09.08.26YKS
Klubi 040
KTP1
W
25.07.26YKS
Mikkeli3
KTP3
D
27.06.26YKS
Haka0
KTP2
W
05.06.26YKS
KaPa1
KTP2
W
23.05.26YKS
Klubi 040
KTP1
W
16.05.26YKS
JaPS0
KTP1
W
03.05.26YKS
Ekenas5
KTP2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Finland Ykkosliiga preview lives.

The home team strides in on N/A. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying N/A. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.36, which the numbers settle at around 21%. The whistle goes at 2:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for SJK Akatemia vs KTP?
Our selection is 2 — KTP to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is SJK Akatemia's current form?
SJK Akatemia have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has KTP been performing recently?
KTP have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
SJK Akatemia lead with 0 wins versus KTP's 8, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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