WON
Result: Shirak Gyumri 0-4 Ararat Armenia
DirectWinPredict Armenia Premier League Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Armenia
S

Shirak Gyumri

Home Side
D D L L L
0W 2D 8L
VS
0-4
Armenia Premier League
A
Ararat Armenia
Away Side
L W D W D
4W 4D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Ararat Armenia to win — Monday, 20th April 2026
Best Odds 1.30
Confidence 57%
Implied Prob 76.9%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Ararat Armenia to win
1.30
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%
Implied Prob
76.9%
Based on 1.30 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-19.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Shirak Gyumri
1
Draws
9
Ararat Armenia
10
Meetings
30%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Ararat Armenia won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Shirak Gyumri
Metric
Ararat Armenia
0.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.6
10%
Clean Sheet %
50%
0-2-8
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate Comparison
0%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 22.4%
0-2 16.8%
0-3 8.4%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.0%
S1
1-0 6.0%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
S2
2-0 1.2%
2-1 1.8%
2-2 1.4%
2-3 0.7%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 0.2%
3-1 0.2%
3-2 0.2%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (22.4%) 0-2 (16.8%) 0-3 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Shirak Gyumri Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Ararat Armenia Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Shirak Gyumri
Overall
0.6
Scoring
0.7
Defence
4.0
Ararat Armenia
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
8.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 32%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 43%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 32%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 43%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.04.26Armenian Cup
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia2
04.03.26Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia1
Shirak Gyumri0
01.12.25Premier League
Ararat-Armenia4
Shirak Gyumri1
24.08.25Premier League
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia1
03.05.25Premier League
Ararat-Armenia5
Shirak Gyumri1
22.10.24Premier League
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia3
19.09.24Premier League
Ararat-Armenia4
Shirak Gyumri0
21.05.24Premier League
Ararat-Armenia1
Shirak Gyumri1
31.03.24Premier League
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia1
11.11.23Premier League
Ararat-Armenia2
Shirak Gyumri0
Recent Form
Shirak Gyumri
16.04.26Premier League
Shirak Gyumri1
BKMA1
D
12.04.26Premier League
BKMA0
Shirak Gyumri0
D
06.04.26Premier League
Shirak Gyumri0
Pyunik Yerevan1
L
02.04.26Armenian Cup
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia2
L
22.03.26Premier League
FC Noah3
Shirak Gyumri0
L
16.03.26Premier League
Shirak Gyumri0
FC Noah2
L
09.03.26Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan3
Shirak Gyumri0
L
04.03.26Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia1
Shirak Gyumri0
L
31.01.26Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan1
Shirak Gyumri0
L
01.12.25Premier League
Ararat-Armenia4
Shirak Gyumri1
L
Ararat Armenia
16.04.26Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia0
FC Noah1
L
11.04.26Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan0
Ararat-Armenia2
W
06.04.26Premier League
Ararat-Armenia1
Alashkert1
D
02.04.26Armenian Cup
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia2
W
20.03.26Premier League
FC Van2
Ararat-Armenia2
D
16.03.26Premier League
Ararat-Armenia3
FC Van0
W
12.03.26Super Cup
FC Noah1
Ararat-Armenia (Noah won on pens)1
D
07.03.26Premier League
Alashkert1
Ararat-Armenia0
L
04.03.26Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia1
Shirak Gyumri0
W
28.02.26Premier League
Ararat-Armenia0
Pyunik Yerevan0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Armenia?
Our selection is 2 — Ararat Armenia to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Shirak Gyumri's current form?
Shirak Gyumri have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ararat Armenia been performing recently?
Ararat Armenia have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shirak Gyumri lead with 0 wins versus Ararat Armenia's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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