PENDING
Result: 1 — SER Caxias to win
DirectWinPredict Brazil Serie C SER Caxias vs Anapolis
S

SER Caxias

Home Side
W L W D W
4W 5D 1L
VS
11:30 pm
Brazil Serie C
A
Anapolis
Away Side
W L L W D
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing SER Caxias to win — Tuesday, 30th June 2026
Best Odds 1.50
Confidence 55%
Implied Prob 66.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — SER Caxias to win
1.50
Under 2.5 Goals85% BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
66.7%
Based on 1.50 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-11.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
SER Caxias
0
Draws
0
Anapolis
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick SER Caxias won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
SER Caxias
Metric
Anapolis
1.2
Goals For / Game
0
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
4-5-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0 38.7%
0-1 13.5%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 23.2%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 1.4%
1-3 0.2%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 2.4%
2-2 0.4%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (23.2%) 2-0 (7.0%) 2-1 (2.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
SER Caxias Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Anapolis Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
SER Caxias
Overall
5.5
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.7
Anapolis
Overall
4.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 5%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 26%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.07.25SC
SER Caxias1
Anápolis0
Recent Form
SER Caxias
21.06.26SC
SER Caxias1
Maringá FC |1
D
13.06.26SC
Guarani2
SER Caxias |1
L
30.05.26SC
SER Caxias2
Ituano |1
W
23.05.26SC
Maranhão0
SER Caxias |0
D
17.05.26SC
SER Caxias2
Paysandu PA |0
W
10.05.26SC
Barra FC0
SER Caxias |0
D
07.05.26CSS
São Bernardo1
SER Caxias |1
D
03.05.26SC
Amazonas1
SER Caxias |1
D
01.05.26CSS
SER Caxias2
Volta Redonda |0
W
28.04.26SC
SER Caxias2
Ypiranga FC |1
W
Anapolis
20.06.26SC
Anápolis2
Itabaiana |0
W
13.06.26SC
Amazonas1
Anápolis |0
L
07.06.26COP
Paysandu PA4
Anápolis |0
L
05.06.26COP
Anápolis3
Paysandu PA |1
W
31.05.26SC
Anápolis0
Maranhão |0
D
28.05.26COP
Rio Branco ES2
Anápolis |1
L
24.05.26SC
Brusque1
Anápolis |0
L
22.05.26COP
Anápolis3
Rio Branco ES |0
W
17.05.26SC
Anápolis1
Barra FC |1
D
13.05.26COP
Vila Nova FC1
Anápolis (pens 3 - 4) |1
W
SER Caxias (Home)
21.06.26SC
SER Caxias1
Maringá FC |1
D
30.05.26SC
SER Caxias2
Ituano |1
W
17.05.26SC
SER Caxias2
Paysandu PA |0
W
01.05.26CSS
SER Caxias2
Volta Redonda |0
W
28.04.26SC
SER Caxias2
Ypiranga FC |1
W
12.04.26SC
SER Caxias1
Confiança |0
W
08.04.26CSS
SER Caxias1
Juventude |0
W
24.03.26CSS
SER Caxias0
Operário-PR |0
D
26.02.26COP
SER Caxias0
Guarany de Bagé |1
L
21.02.26GAU
SER Caxias0
São Luiz (pens 2 - 3) |1
L
Anapolis (Away)
13.06.26SC
Amazonas1
Anápolis |0
L
07.06.26COP
Paysandu PA4
Anápolis |0
L
28.05.26COP
Rio Branco ES2
Anápolis |1
L
24.05.26SC
Brusque1
Anápolis |0
L
13.05.26COP
Vila Nova FC1
Anápolis (pens 3 - 4) |1
W
09.05.26SC
Paysandu PA2
Anápolis |1
L
03.05.26SC
Ferroviária1
Anápolis |0
L
18.04.26SC
Ypiranga FC3
Anápolis |0
L
15.04.26COP
Gama2
Anápolis |1
L
05.04.26SC
Ituano2
Anápolis |0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 30th June 2026, SER Caxias host Anapolis at Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul) in Brazil Serie C. We recommend SER Caxias to win as the standout selection.

SER Caxias arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Anapolis are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour SER Caxias, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Anapolis's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ser caxias to win at odds of 1.50 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Brazil Serie C preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.50, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 11:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for SER Caxias vs Anapolis?
Our selection is 1 — SER Caxias to win, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is SER Caxias's current form?
SER Caxias have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Anapolis been performing recently?
Anapolis have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
SER Caxias lead with 1 wins versus Anapolis's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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