PENDING
Result: 1 — Ordabasy to win
DirectWinPredict Kazakhstan Cup Ordabasy vs Altai
O

Ordabasy

Home Side
L W W W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
4:00 pm
Kazakhstan Cup
A
Altai
Away Side
W W L D L
3W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Ordabasy to win — Wednesday, 15th July 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 51%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ordabasy to win
1.38
Ordabasy Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
72.5%
Based on 1.38 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-21.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Ordabasy
1
Draws
0
Altai
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
0
Avg Goals
Against Pick Ordabasy won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Ordabasy
Metric
Altai
1.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheet %
33%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
80%
33%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
O0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 8.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 15.3%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 4.9%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
O2
2-0 11.1%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
O3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.3%) 2-0 (11.1%) 2-1 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · O=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Ordabasy Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Altai Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Ordabasy
Overall
8.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.0
Altai
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.9
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
10.05.26PL
Altai0
Ordabasy0
Recent Form
Ordabasy
11.07.26PL
Kaspij Aktau3
Ordabasy2
L
05.07.26PL
Ordabasy1
Ulytau0
W
28.06.26PL
Ulytau0
Ordabasy1
W
20.06.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kaspij Aktau0
W
14.06.26PL
Yelimay Semey1
Ordabasy3
W
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
W
23.05.26PL
Tobol0
Ordabasy3
W
17.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
W
13.05.26CUP
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
W
10.05.26PL
Altai0
Ordabasy0
D
Altai
11.07.26PL
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Altai1
W
04.07.26PL
Altai1
Tobol0
W
28.06.26PL
Tobol3
Altai1
L
20.06.26PL
Altai3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan3
D
14.06.26PL
Aktobe2
Altai0
L
27.05.26PL
Altai1
FC Astana1
D
22.05.26PL
Altai0
Okzhetpes1
L
17.05.26PL
Kyzylzhar1
Altai2
W
10.05.26PL
Altai0
Ordabasy0
D
Ordabasy (Home)
05.07.26PL
Ordabasy1
Ulytau0
W
20.06.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kaspij Aktau0
W
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
W
17.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
W
13.05.26CUP
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
W
03.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Aktobe0
W
30.04.26CUP
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
W
18.04.26PL
Ordabasy2
Okzhetpes1
W
04.04.26PL
Ordabasy1
Atyrau1
D
20.03.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
W
Altai (Away)
11.07.26PL
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Altai1
W
28.06.26PL
Tobol3
Altai1
L
14.06.26PL
Aktobe2
Altai0
L
17.05.26PL
Kyzylzhar1
Altai2
W
03.05.26PL
Atyrau1
Altai0
L
19.04.26PL
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Altai1
D
09.04.26CUP
Jelaev Nan0
Altai2
W
04.04.26PL
Ertis Pavlodar1
Altai0
L
16.03.26PL
Yelimay Semey1
Altai1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Ordabasy host Altai at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent) in Kazakhstan Cup. We recommend Ordabasy to win as the standout selection.

Ordabasy arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Altai are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 3L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ordabasy, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Altai's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ordabasy to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Kazakhstan Cup preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.38, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 4:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ordabasy vs Altai?
Our selection is 1 — Ordabasy to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Ordabasy's current form?
Ordabasy have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Altai been performing recently?
Altai have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ordabasy lead with 0 wins versus Altai's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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