PENDING
Result: 1 — OKMK to win
DirectWinPredict Uzbekistan Super League OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
O

OKMK

Home Side
W W D W D
6W 3D 1L
VS
4:00 pm
Uzbekistan Super League
M
Mashal Muborak
Away Side
D W L L L
1W 1D 8L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing OKMK to win — Monday, 27th July 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 74.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
8
OKMK
1
Draws
1
Mashal Muborak
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick OKMK won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
OKMK
Metric
Mashal Muborak
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
O0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
O1
1-0 12.0%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
O2
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
O3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.0%) 2-0 (10.2%) 2-1 (9.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · O=Home goals ↓   M=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
OKMK Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Mashal Muborak Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
OKMK
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.7
Mashal Muborak
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
30.11.25SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak0
05.07.25SL
Mashal Muborak0
OKMK1
15.10.21SL
OKMK3
Mashal Muborak2
19.05.21SL
Mashal Muborak2
OKMK1
17.10.20SL
Mashal Muborak0
OKMK2
27.06.20SL
OKMK1
Mashal Muborak0
03.08.19CUP
OKMK1
Mashal Muborak (AET)0
19.09.18CUP
OKMK3
Mashal Muborak (AET)1
20.10.17SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak1
13.05.17SL
Mashal Muborak0
OKMK0
Recent Form
OKMK
22.07.26SL
Kokand 19121
OKMK4
W
17.07.26SL
Navbahor Namangan2
OKMK3
W
03.05.26SL
OKMK0
Neftchi Fargona0
D
27.04.26SL
OKMK2
Lok. Tashkent1
W
23.04.26SL
Din. Samarkand2
OKMK2
D
17.04.26SL
OKMK3
Buxoro2
W
12.04.26SL
Andijan1
OKMK2
W
08.04.26SL
OKMK1
Termez Surkhon1
D
04.04.26SL
Pakhtakor3
OKMK1
L
18.03.26SL
Qizilqum0
OKMK1
W
Mashal Muborak
22.07.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
17.07.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Kokand 19120
W
02.05.26SL
Din. Samarkand3
Mashal Muborak1
L
27.04.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Buxoro1
L
22.04.26SL
Termez Surkhon2
Mashal Muborak1
L
18.04.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Xorazm Urganch1
L
13.04.26SL
Pakhtakor2
Mashal Muborak1
L
07.04.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Bunyodkor1
L
03.04.26SL
Navbahor Namangan2
Mashal Muborak1
L
19.03.26SL
Andijan2
Mashal Muborak0
L
OKMK (Home)
03.05.26SL
OKMK0
Neftchi Fargona0
D
27.04.26SL
OKMK2
Lok. Tashkent1
W
17.04.26SL
OKMK3
Buxoro2
W
08.04.26SL
OKMK1
Termez Surkhon1
D
12.03.26SL
OKMK2
Sogdiana2
D
01.03.26SL
OKMK0
Bunyodkor1
L
23.01.26CF
OKMK3
Ulsan HD2
W
30.11.25SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak0
W
07.11.25SL
OKMK3
Navbahor Namangan1
W
26.10.25SL
OKMK1
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
Mashal Muborak (Away)
02.05.26SL
Din. Samarkand3
Mashal Muborak1
L
22.04.26SL
Termez Surkhon2
Mashal Muborak1
L
13.04.26SL
Pakhtakor2
Mashal Muborak1
L
03.04.26SL
Navbahor Namangan2
Mashal Muborak1
L
19.03.26SL
Andijan2
Mashal Muborak0
L
28.02.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Mashal Muborak0
L
30.11.25SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak0
L
08.11.25SL
Nasaf Qarshi1
Mashal Muborak2
W
26.10.25SL
Bunyodkor2
Mashal Muborak1
L
05.10.25SL
Qizilqum1
Mashal Muborak0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 27th July 2026, OKMK host Mashal Muborak at OKMK Sport Majmuasi (Olmaliq) in Uzbekistan Super League. We recommend OKMK to win as the standout selection.

OKMK arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mashal Muborak are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour OKMK, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Mashal Muborak's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: okmk to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Uzbekistan Super League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at OKMK Sport Majmuasi (Olmaliq), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.34, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 4:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for OKMK vs Mashal Muborak?
Our selection is 1 — OKMK to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is OKMK's current form?
OKMK have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mashal Muborak been performing recently?
Mashal Muborak have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
OKMK lead with 8 wins versus Mashal Muborak's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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