PENDING
Result: 1 — NSI Runavik to win
DirectWinPredict NSI Runavik vs AB Argir
N

NSI Runavik

Home Side
D W D W L
4W 3D 3L
VS
3:00 pm
A
AB Argir
Away Side
L L W L L
4W 0D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing NSI Runavik to win — Sunday, 30th August 2026
Best Odds 1.24
Confidence 60%
Implied Prob 80.6%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — NSI Runavik to win
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
80.6%
Based on 1.24 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-20.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
8
NSI Runavik
0
Draws
2
AB Argir
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick NSI Runavik won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
NSI Runavik
Metric
AB Argir
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.8
10%
Clean Sheet %
10%
4-3-3
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate Comparison
40%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
N2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
N4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.9%) 1-0 (6.2%) 2-0 (5.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
NSI Runavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
AB Argir
Overall
4.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
21.03.26PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir1
21.08.22PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik2
15.05.22PL
NSI Runavik1
AB Argir4
18.04.22PL
AB Argir2
NSI Runavik3
04.10.20PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik2
28.06.20PL
AB Argir2
NSI Runavik3
12.06.20PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir0
18.08.19PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik5
15.06.19PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir0
Recent Form
NSI Runavik
23.08.26PL
Klaksvik2
NSI Runavik2
D
16.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Streymur2
W
13.08.26UECL
NSI Runavik2
Lugano2
D
10.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Skala Itrottarfelag0
W
06.08.26UECL
Lugano2
NSI Runavik0
L
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
L
30.07.26UECL
Koper1
NSI Runavik (3-4)3
23.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
L
16.07.26UECL
Hamrun1
NSI Runavik2
W
09.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik1
Hamrun1
D
AB Argir
23.08.26PL
Streymur2
AB Argir0
L
17.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Klaksvik4
L
02.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Skala Itrottarfelag2
W
28.07.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
AB Argir0
L
04.07.26PL
AB Argir1
Streymur2
L
29.06.26PL
Toftir0
AB Argir1
W
21.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
L
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
W
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
W
25.05.26PL
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Unknown League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Við Løkin (Runavík), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.24, which the numbers settle at around 63%. The whistle goes at 3:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for NSI Runavik vs AB Argir?
Our selection is 1 — NSI Runavik to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is NSI Runavik's current form?
NSI Runavik have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has AB Argir been performing recently?
AB Argir have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
NSI Runavik lead with 8 wins versus AB Argir's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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