WON
Result: KR Reykjavik 4-2 Hafnarfjordur
DirectWinPredict Iceland Besta deild karla KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
K

KR Reykjavik

Home Side
W W W W D
7W 1D 2L
VS
4-2
Iceland Besta deild karla
H
Hafnarfjordur
Away Side
L L D W D
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing KR Reykjavik to win or draw — Monday, 27th April 2026
Best Odds 1.13
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 88.5%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — KR Reykjavik to win or draw
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
88.5%
Based on 1.13 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+1.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
13.1%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
KR Reykjavik
3
Draws
2
Hafnarfjordur
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
KR Reykjavik
Metric
Hafnarfjordur
4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
10%
Clean Sheet %
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
70%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
K0
0-0 1.1%
0-1 1.9%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 3.0%
1-1 5.2%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
K2
2-0 4.1%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
K3
3-0 3.9%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 5.9%
3-3 3.5%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.5%
K4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 4.7%
4-2 4.1%
4-3 2.4%
4-4 1.1%
4-5 0.4%
K5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 2.7%
5-2 2.3%
5-3 1.4%
5-4 0.6%
5-5 0.2%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (7.3%) 3-1 (6.8%) 2-2 (6.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
KR Reykjavik
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
3.7
Hafnarfjordur
Overall
2.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 48%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.06.25BK
KR Reykjavik3
Hafnarfjordur2
23.04.25BK
Hafnarfjordur2
KR Reykjavik2
12.08.24BK
KR Reykjavik1
Hafnarfjordur0
20.05.24BK
Hafnarfjordur1
KR Reykjavik2
07.10.23BK
Hafnarfjordur3
KR Reykjavik1
18.07.23BK
KR Reykjavik1
Hafnarfjordur0
29.04.23BK
Hafnarfjordur3
KR Reykjavik0
28.08.22BK
KR Reykjavik0
Hafnarfjordur0
29.05.22BK
Hafnarfjordur2
KR Reykjavik3
08.08.21BK
KR Reykjavik1
Hafnarfjordur1
Recent Form
KR Reykjavik
23.04.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar2
KR Reykjavik6
W
17.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
Thor Akureyri2
W
12.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik3
Keflavik2
W
06.04.26CUP
KR Reykjavik4
Valur2
W
21.03.26CUP
Fylkir5
KR Reykjavik (4 - 4)4
L
14.03.26CUP
Stjarnan0
KR Reykjavik4
W
28.02.26CUP
KR Reykjavik5
Njardvik1
W
19.02.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik1
KR Reykjavik0
L
14.02.26CUP
KR Reykjavik3
IR Reykjavik3
D
07.02.26CUP
KR Reykjavik6
Grindavik1
W
Hafnarfjordur
23.04.26BK
Valur3
Hafnarfjordur0
L
17.04.26BK
Stjarnan3
Hafnarfjordur2
L
12.04.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar1
Hafnarfjordur1
D
04.04.26CUP
Thor Akureyri2
Hafnarfjordur4
W
07.03.26CF
Hafnarfjordur1
Moss1
D
03.03.26CUP
Leiknir2
Hafnarfjordur1
L
27.02.26CUP
Fylkir3
Hafnarfjordur0
L
19.02.26CUP
Breidablik1
Hafnarfjordur0
L
12.02.26CUP
Hafnarfjordur0
Vestmannaeyjar0
D
06.02.26CUP
Throttur0
Hafnarfjordur7
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 27th April 2026, KR Reykjavik host Hafnarfjordur in Iceland Besta deild karla. We recommend KR Reykjavik to win or draw as the standout selection.

KR Reykjavik arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hafnarfjordur are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KR Reykjavik, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Hafnarfjordur's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kr reykjavik to win or draw at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iceland Besta deild karla game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.13 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur?
Our selection is 1X — KR Reykjavik to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is KR Reykjavik's current form?
KR Reykjavik have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hafnarfjordur been performing recently?
Hafnarfjordur have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KR Reykjavik lead with 5 wins versus Hafnarfjordur's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.