PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Australia NPL NSW Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud
K

Kahibah

Home Side
W D L L L
3W 1D 6L
VS
11:00 am
Australia NPL NSW
A
Adamstown Rosebud
Away Side
D L W W D
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Wednesday, 24th June 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 82%
Implied Prob 74.6%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95%
Implied Prob
74.6%
Based on 1.34 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+7.4%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
29.1%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Kahibah
0
Draws
0
Adamstown Rosebud
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kahibah
Metric
Adamstown Rosebud
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.4
Goals Against / Game
2
10%
Clean Sheet %
30%
3-1-6
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
30%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
K0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.5%
K1
1-0 4.1%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 5.1%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 1.0%
K2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 0.9%
K3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 1.4%
3-5 0.6%
K4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
K5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (8.1%) 1-2 (7.9%) 2-1 (7.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kahibah
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
2.0
Adamstown Rosebud
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
27.02.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Kahibah3
Recent Form
Kahibah
21.06.26NSW
Kahibah4
Charlestown Azzurri1
W
14.06.26NSW
Newcastle Olympic3
Kahibah3
D
16.05.26NSW
Lambton J.4
Kahibah0
L
08.05.26NSW
Cooks Hill United3
Kahibah0
L
03.05.26NSW
Kahibah1
Broadmeadow3
L
26.04.26NSW
Belmont Swansea Utd.6
Kahibah3
L
19.04.26NSW
Kahibah1
Weston Bears2
L
12.04.26NSW
Kahibah3
Valentine0
W
28.03.26NSW
Maitland1
Kahibah2
W
22.03.26NSW
Charlestown Azzurri1
Kahibah0
L
Adamstown Rosebud
20.06.26NSW
Lambton J.1
Adamstown Rosebud1
D
13.06.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Broadmeadow5
L
30.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Newcastle Olympic0
W
16.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Charlestown Azzurri0
W
09.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Belmont Swansea Utd.2
D
02.05.26NSW
Cooks Hill United3
Adamstown Rosebud1
L
29.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Lambton J.2
L
25.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud0
Weston Bears2
L
18.04.26NSW
Valentine0
Adamstown Rosebud3
W
11.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Maitland5
L
Kahibah (Home)
20.06.26NSW
Lambton J.1
Adamstown Rosebud1
D
13.06.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Broadmeadow5
L
30.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Newcastle Olympic0
W
16.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Charlestown Azzurri0
W
09.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Belmont Swansea Utd.2
D
02.05.26NSW
Cooks Hill United3
Adamstown Rosebud1
L
29.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Lambton J.2
L
25.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud0
Weston Bears2
L
18.04.26NSW
Valentine0
Adamstown Rosebud3
W
11.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Maitland5
L
Adamstown Rosebud (Away)
21.06.26NSW
Kahibah4
Charlestown Azzurri1
W
03.05.26NSW
Kahibah1
Broadmeadow3
L
19.04.26NSW
Kahibah1
Weston Bears2
L
12.04.26NSW
Kahibah3
Valentine0
W
15.03.26NSW
Kahibah0
Newcastle Olympic2
L
06.03.26NSW
Kahibah2
Edgeworth E.2
D
19.02.26NSW
Kahibah0
Lambton J.5
L
09.08.25NSL
Kahibah4
Cessnock City Hornets1
W
03.08.25NSL
Kahibah2
Singleton Strikers1
W
06.07.25NSL
Kahibah2
South Cardiff0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, Kahibah host Adamstown Rosebud at Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle) in Australia NPL NSW. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Kahibah arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Adamstown Rosebud are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kahibah, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Adamstown Rosebud's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Australia NPL NSW preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.34, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 11:00 am.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Kahibah's current form?
Kahibah have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Adamstown Rosebud been performing recently?
Adamstown Rosebud have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kahibah lead with 1 wins versus Adamstown Rosebud's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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