WON
Result: HJK W 3-2 Aland Utd W
DirectWinPredict Finland Kansallilen Women HJK W vs Aland Utd W
H

HJK W

Home Side
W W W W D
8W 2D 0L
VS
3-2
Finland Kansallilen Women
A
Aland Utd W
Away Side
W L L L L
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing HJK W to win — Thursday, 2nd April 2026
Best Odds 1.27
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 78.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HJK W to win
1.27
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
78.7%
Based on 1.27 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-11.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
8
HJK W
2
Draws
0
Aland Utd W
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
4.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick HJK W won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
HJK W
Metric
Aland Utd W
2.7
Goals For / Game
0
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0
30%
Clean Sheet %
0%
8-2-0
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
H0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 20.2%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 13.6%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (20.2%) 2-0 (13.6%) 2-1 (7.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
HJK W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Aland Utd W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
HJK W
Overall
8.6
Scoring
9.0
Defence
6.3
Aland Utd W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
03.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
HJK2
21.09.25
CUP: HJK W3
Åland Utd1
06.09.25
KL: HJK W6
Åland Utd1
06.07.25
KL: HJK W9
Åland Utd1
03.05.25
KL: Åland Utd W0
HJK0
18.10.24
KL: HJK W3
Åland Utd0
02.10.24
KL: Åland Utd W1
HJK2
31.08.24
KL: Åland Utd W3
HJK6
08.06.24
KL: HJK W2
Åland Utd0
04.10.23
KL: Åland Utd W1
HJK2
Recent Form
HJK W
28.03.26
KL: VIFK W0
HJK W1
W
31.01.26
CF: AIK W3
HJK W4
W
18.10.25
KL: PK-35 Vantaa W1
HJK W2
W
12.10.25
KL: HJK W3
KuPS W2
W
03.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
HJK W2
D
27.09.25
KL: HJK W3
VIFK W0
W
24.09.25
KL: HPS W1
HJK W1
D
21.09.25
CUP: HJK W3
Åland Utd W1
W
10.09.25
KL: HJK W2
PK-35 Vantaa W0
W
06.09.25
KL: HJK W6
Åland Utd W1
W
Aland Utd W
28.03.26
KL: Åland Utd W6
Gnistan W1
W
21.02.26
CF: Eskilstuna Utd W7
Åland Utd W2
L
14.02.26
CF: Uppsala W2
Åland Utd W0
L
30.01.26
CF: IF Brommapojkarna W4
Åland Utd W0
L
18.10.25
KL: HPS W2
Åland Utd W1
L
11.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W3
PK-35 Vantaa W1
W
07.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W6
HPS W2
W
03.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
HJK W2
D
27.09.25
KL: KuPS W2
Åland Utd W1
L
24.09.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
VIFK W0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 2nd April 2026, HJK W host Aland Utd W in Finland Kansallilen Women. We recommend HJK W to win as the standout selection.

HJK W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Aland Utd W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour HJK W, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Aland Utd W's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hjk w to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Finland Kansallilen Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.27 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HJK W vs Aland Utd W?
Our selection is 1 — HJK W to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is HJK W's current form?
HJK W have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aland Utd W been performing recently?
Aland Utd W have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HJK W lead with 8 wins versus Aland Utd W's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.