PENDING
Result: 1 — HB Torshavn to win
DirectWinPredict Faroe Islands Premier League HB Torshavn vs AB Argir
H

HB Torshavn

Home Side
D W D W W
6W 2D 2L
VS
3:30 pm
A
AB Argir
Away Side
D L L L W
3W 1D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing HB Torshavn to win — Saturday, 19th September 2026
Best Odds 1.33
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 75.2%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HB Torshavn to win
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
75.2%
Based on 1.33 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-16.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
HB Torshavn
1
Draws
2
AB Argir
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
3.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick HB Torshavn won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
HB Torshavn
Metric
AB Argir
2
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
60%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
H0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
H2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
H3
3-0 5.2%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.8%) 1-0 (8.6%) 2-0 (8.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
HB Torshavn
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.3
AB Argir
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
27.08.23PL
AB Argir2
HB Torshavn4
06.08.23PL
HB Torshavn5
AB Argir0
08.04.23PL
HB Torshavn4
AB Argir0
04.09.22PL
AB Argir2
HB Torshavn1
07.08.22PL
HB Torshavn3
AB Argir0
18.05.22CUP
HB Torshavn2
AB Argir1
05.03.22PL
AB Argir1
HB Torshavn3
24.10.20PL
AB Argir2
HB Torshavn3
Recent Form
HB Torshavn
13.09.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag2
HB Torshavn2
D
28.08.26PL
Vikingur1
HB Torshavn3
W
23.08.26PL
HB Torshavn0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
16.08.26PL
HB Torshavn2
Toftir0
W
10.08.26PL
Klaksvik0
HB Torshavn2
W
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
W
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
23.07.26UECL
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
L
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
W
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
AB Argir
13.09.26PL
AB Argir1
Toftir1
D
30.08.26PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir1
L
23.08.26PL
Streymur2
AB Argir0
L
17.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Klaksvik4
L
02.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Skala Itrottarfelag2
W
28.07.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
AB Argir0
L
04.07.26PL
AB Argir1
Streymur2
L
29.06.26PL
Toftir0
AB Argir1
W
21.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
L
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
W
HB Torshavn (Home)
23.08.26PL
HB Torshavn0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
16.08.26PL
HB Torshavn2
Toftir0
W
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
W
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
30.05.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Vikingur0
D
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
AB Argir (Away)
30.08.26PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir1
L
23.08.26PL
Streymur2
AB Argir0
L
28.07.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
AB Argir0
L
29.06.26PL
Toftir0
AB Argir1
W
21.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
L
25.05.26PL
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
L
10.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
AB Argir0
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
16.04.26CUP
Vikingur5
AB Argir1
L
12.04.26PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Faroe Islands Premier League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Gundadalur (Torshavn), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.33, which the numbers settle at around 51%. The whistle goes at 3:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs AB Argir?
Our selection is 1 — HB Torshavn to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is HB Torshavn's current form?
HB Torshavn have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has AB Argir been performing recently?
AB Argir have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HB Torshavn lead with 7 wins versus AB Argir's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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