PENDING
Result: 1 — Fylkir to win
DirectWinPredict Iceland Division 1 Fylkir vs Volsungor
F

Fylkir

Home Side
L L W W W
6W 0D 3L
VS
7:00 pm
Iceland Division 1
V
Volsungor
Away Side
W L L D D
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Fylkir to win — Wednesday, 29th July 2026
Best Odds 1.25
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 80%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Fylkir to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals68% BTTS — No66%
Implied Prob
80%
Based on 1.25 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Fylkir
1
Draws
0
Volsungor
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Fylkir won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Fylkir
Metric
Volsungor
2.7
Goals For / Game
0
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0
11%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-0-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
67%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
F0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 9.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.2%) 2-0 (9.6%) 2-1 (8.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   V=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Fylkir Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Volsungor Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Fylkir
Overall
6.7
Scoring
8.9
Defence
4.1
Volsungor
Overall
2.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 44%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 44%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
23.05.26D1
Volsungur0
Fylkir1
06.09.25D1
Fylkir1
Volsungur2
28.06.25D1
Volsungur1
Fylkir4
01.03.25CUP
Volsungur0
Fylkir6
29.05.13CUP
Fylkir2
Volsungur0
Recent Form
Fylkir
25.07.26D1
IR Reykjavik2
Fylkir0
L
17.07.26D1
Fylkir4
Njardvik1
W
13.07.26D1
Vestri2
Fylkir5
W
03.07.26D1
Aegir2
Fylkir4
W
26.06.26D1
Fylkir0
Kopavogur2
L
21.06.26D1
Grotta2
Fylkir5
W
17.06.26D1
Grindavik0
Fylkir1
W
13.06.26CUP
Fylkir4
Grotta2
W
06.06.26D1
Fylkir1
Throttur3
L
Volsungor
24.07.26D1
Volsungur2
Grindavik0
W
18.07.26D1
Throttur1
Volsungur0
L
11.07.26D1
Volsungur1
Afturelding6
L
04.07.26D1
Leiknir3
Volsungur3
D
27.06.26D1
Volsungur2
Grotta2
D
21.06.26D1
IR Reykjavik4
Volsungur4
D
13.06.26D1
Volsungur2
Njardvik1
W
06.06.26D1
Vestri5
Volsungur1
L
31.05.26D1
Volsungur2
Aegir3
L
27.05.26D1
Kopavogur1
Volsungur0
L
Fylkir (Home)
17.07.26D1
Fylkir4
Njardvik1
W
26.06.26D1
Fylkir0
Kopavogur2
L
13.06.26CUP
Fylkir4
Grotta2
W
06.06.26D1
Fylkir1
Throttur3
L
27.05.26D1
Fylkir3
Leiknir0
W
18.05.26D1
Fylkir2
IR Reykjavik1
W
14.05.26CUP
Fylkir5
Hafnarfjordur0
W
04.05.26D1
Fylkir2
Vestri0
W
24.04.26D1
Fylkir3
Aegir0
W
Volsungor (Away)
18.07.26D1
Throttur1
Volsungur0
L
04.07.26D1
Leiknir3
Volsungur3
D
21.06.26D1
IR Reykjavik4
Volsungur4
D
06.06.26D1
Vestri5
Volsungur1
L
27.05.26D1
Kopavogur1
Volsungur0
L
17.05.26D1
Grindavik3
Volsungur1
L
01.05.26D1
Afturelding0
Volsungur0
D
18.02.26CUP
Thor Akureyri10
Volsungur0
L
06.09.25D1
Fylkir1
Volsungur2
W
23.08.25D1
Keflavik7
Volsungur2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 29th July 2026, Fylkir host Volsungor at Fylkisvöllur (Reykjavík) in Iceland Division 1. We recommend Fylkir to win as the standout selection.

Fylkir arrive in strong form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Volsungor are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Fylkir, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Volsungor's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fylkir to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Iceland Division 1 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Fylkisvöllur (Reykjavík), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.25, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fylkir vs Volsungor?
Our selection is 1 — Fylkir to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Fylkir's current form?
Fylkir have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches.
How has Volsungor been performing recently?
Volsungor have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fylkir lead with 4 wins versus Volsungor's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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