PENDING
Result: 1 — Forge to win
DirectWinPredict Canadian Premier League Forge vs Vancouver FC
F

Forge

Home Side
W W W L W
8W 1D 1L
VS
6:00 pm
Canadian Premier League
V
Vancouver FC
Away Side
W W L D L
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Forge to win — Wednesday, 7th January 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 64%
Implied Prob 70.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Forge to win
1.41
Under 2.5 Goals65% Forge Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
70.9%
Based on 1.41 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-6.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Forge
2
Draws
1
Vancouver FC
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Forge won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Forge
Metric
Vancouver FC
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1
70%
Clean Sheet %
10%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
80%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
F0
0-0 12.3%
0-1 9.2%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 11.2%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.5%) 2-0 (11.2%) 2-1 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   V=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Forge Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Vancouver FC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Forge
Overall
8.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.7
Vancouver FC
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.04.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
04.10.25CPL
Forge1
Vancouver FC1
23.08.25CPL
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
05.07.25CPL
Forge2
Vancouver FC1
15.06.25CPL
Vancouver FC0
Forge2
21.09.24CPL
Vancouver FC1
Forge3
19.08.24CPL
Vancouver FC1
Forge2
06.07.24CPL
Forge3
Vancouver FC3
18.05.24CPL
Forge1
Vancouver FC2
03.09.23CPL
Vancouver FC0
Forge3
Recent Form
Forge
11.06.26CPL
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
W
07.06.26CPL
Inter Toronto1
Forge4
W
31.05.26CPL
Forge1
Cavalry0
W
24.05.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa2
Forge1
L
13.05.26CPL
Forge1
Supra du Quebec0
W
09.05.26CHA
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
W
02.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Forge3
W
26.04.26CPL
Pacific FC0
Forge1
W
18.04.26CPL
Forge0
Cavalry0
D
13.04.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
W
Vancouver FC
14.06.26CPL
Vancouver FC2
Pacific FC1
W
06.06.26CPL
Vancouver FC2
Atl. Ottawa1
W
30.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver FC0
L
23.05.26CPL
Vancouver FC1
Supra du Quebec1
D
18.05.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
Cavalry2
L
10.05.26CHA
Vancouver FC2
Langley United0
W
04.05.26CPL
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC3
W
26.04.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa1
Vancouver FC1
D
19.04.26CPL
Inter Toronto1
Vancouver FC0
L
13.04.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
L
Forge (Home)
11.06.26CPL
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
W
31.05.26CPL
Forge1
Cavalry0
W
13.05.26CPL
Forge1
Supra du Quebec0
W
09.05.26CHA
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
W
18.04.26CPL
Forge0
Cavalry0
D
04.04.26CPL
Forge2
Atl. Ottawa0
W
04.02.26CCL
Forge0
Tigres UANL0
D
02.11.25CPL
Forge0
Cavalry1
L
26.10.25CPL
Forge1
Atl. Ottawa2
L
18.10.25CPL
Forge3
Inter Toronto0
W
Vancouver FC (Away)
30.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver FC0
L
04.05.26CPL
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC3
W
26.04.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa1
Vancouver FC1
D
19.04.26CPL
Inter Toronto1
Vancouver FC0
L
13.02.26CCL
Cruz Azul5
Vancouver FC0
L
12.10.25CPL
Atl. Ottawa0
Vancouver FC0
D
04.10.25CPL
Forge1
Vancouver FC1
D
02.10.25CHA
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Vancouver FC2
L
19.09.25CHA
Atl. Ottawa1
Vancouver FC0
L
14.09.25CPL
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 7th January 2026, Forge host Vancouver FC at Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON) in Canadian Premier League. We recommend Forge to win as the standout selection.

Forge arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vancouver FC are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Forge, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Vancouver FC's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: forge to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Canadian Premier League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.41, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 6:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Forge vs Vancouver FC?
Our selection is 1 — Forge to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Forge's current form?
Forge have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vancouver FC been performing recently?
Vancouver FC have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Forge lead with 7 wins versus Vancouver FC's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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