PENDING
Result: 1X — FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw
DirectWinPredict Mongolia Premier League FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
F

FC Ulaanbaatar

Home Side
W L W W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
12:00 pm
Mongolia Premier League
K
Khangarid
Away Side
L W W D L
7W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw — Wednesday, 24th June 2026
Best Odds 1.15
Confidence 80%
Implied Prob 87%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95%
Implied Prob
87%
Based on 1.15 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
FC Ulaanbaatar
1
Draws
3
Khangarid
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.9
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
FC Ulaanbaatar
Metric
Khangarid
3.4
Goals For / Game
3.3
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheet %
30%
8-1-1
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
80%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
F0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 2.8%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
F1
1-0 3.3%
1-1 6.4%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.8%
F2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 0.9%
F3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 3.6%
3-4 1.7%
3-5 0.7%
F4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 3.2%
4-3 2.1%
4-4 1.0%
4-5 0.4%
F5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 1.0%
5-4 0.5%
5-5 0.2%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (7.4%) 2-2 (7.2%) 1-1 (6.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
FC Ulaanbaatar
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.0
Khangarid
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
14.10.25PRL
Khangarid1
FC Ulaanbaatar3
19.06.25PRL
Khangarid6
FC Ulaanbaatar2
22.03.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar0
Khangarid0
25.08.24PRL
Khangarid0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
04.05.24PRL
Khangarid2
FC Ulaanbaatar1
02.03.24PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar0
Khangarid3
05.08.23PRL
Khangarid0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
02.07.23PRL
Khangarid2
FC Ulaanbaatar5
04.05.23PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar6
Khangarid0
Recent Form
FC Ulaanbaatar
21.06.26PRL
Central Stallions0
FC Ulaanbaatar3
W
17.06.26PRL
Central Stallions1
FC Ulaanbaatar0
L
14.06.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Khoromkhon0
W
23.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Deren0
W
20.05.26PRL
Hunters1
FC Ulaanbaatar4
W
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
W
10.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Ulaangom City1
W
06.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khovd Western0
W
25.04.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Khovd1
W
02.11.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Central Stallions1
D
Khangarid
21.06.26PRL
Khangarid2
Deren3
L
18.06.26PRL
Khovd Western1
Khangarid2
W
24.05.26PRL
Khovd0
Khangarid6
W
21.05.26PRL
Khangarid1
Central Stallions1
D
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
L
09.05.26PRL
Khangarid2
Deren1
W
07.05.26PRL
Hunters0
Khangarid2
W
02.05.26PRL
Khangarid6
Khoromkhon2
W
26.04.26PRL
Khangarid5
Ulaangom City1
W
03.11.25PRL
Khangarid6
Khovd Western0
W
FC Ulaanbaatar (Home)
14.06.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Khoromkhon0
W
23.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Deren0
W
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
W
10.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Ulaangom City1
W
06.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khovd Western0
W
25.04.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Khovd1
W
02.11.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Central Stallions1
D
18.10.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Hunters0
W
11.10.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar8
Ulaangom City0
W
28.09.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Falcons1
D
Khangarid (Away)
18.06.26PRL
Khovd Western1
Khangarid2
W
24.05.26PRL
Khovd0
Khangarid6
W
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
L
07.05.26PRL
Hunters0
Khangarid2
W
19.10.25PRL
Central Stallions2
Khangarid1
L
11.10.25PRL
Deren1
Khangarid1
D
27.09.25PRL
Khoromkhon0
Khangarid8
W
23.09.25PRL
Ulaangom City0
Khangarid10
W
12.08.25CHL
Taiwan Steel4
Khangarid1
L
20.07.25PRL
Falcons2
Khangarid1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, FC Ulaanbaatar host Khangarid in Mongolia Premier League. We recommend FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw as the standout selection.

FC Ulaanbaatar arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Khangarid are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Ulaanbaatar, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Khangarid's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fc ulaanbaatar to win or draw at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Mongolia Premier League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1X, priced at @1.15, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 12:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Our selection is 1X — FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is FC Ulaanbaatar's current form?
FC Ulaanbaatar have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Khangarid been performing recently?
Khangarid have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Ulaanbaatar lead with 6 wins versus Khangarid's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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