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Result: England 0-0 Ghana
DirectWinPredict World Cup 2026 England vs Ghana
E

England

Home Side
W W W L D
8W 1D 1L
VS
0-0
9:00 pm
World Cup 2026
G
Ghana
Away Side
W D L L L
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing England to win — Tuesday, 23rd June 2026
Best Odds 1.20
Confidence 56%
Implied Prob 83.3%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — England to win
1.20
BTTS — No75% England Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
83.3%
Based on 1.20 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-27.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
England
1
Draws
0
Ghana
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
2
Avg Goals
Against Pick England won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
England
Metric
Ghana
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.3
70%
Clean Sheet %
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
E0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
E1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 3.7%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
E2
2-0 12.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
E3
3-0 8.3%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 4.1%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.1%) 2-0 (12.8%) 2-1 (9.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
England Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ghana Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
England
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
8.7
Ghana
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 47%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.03.11FI
England1
Ghana1
Recent Form
England
17.06.26WC
England4
Croatia2
W
10.06.26FI
England3
Costa Rica0
W
06.06.26FI
England1
New Zealand0
W
31.03.26FI
England0
Japan1
L
27.03.26FI
England1
Uruguay1
D
16.11.25WC
Albania0
England2
W
13.11.25WC
England2
Serbia0
W
14.10.25WC
Latvia0
England5
W
09.10.25FI
England3
Wales0
W
09.09.25WC
Serbia0
England5
W
Ghana
18.06.26WC
Ghana1
Panama0
W
02.06.26FI
Wales1
Ghana1
D
23.05.26FI
Mexico2
Ghana0
L
30.03.26FI
Germany2
Ghana1
L
27.03.26FI
Austria5
Ghana1
L
18.11.25FI
South Korea1
Ghana0
L
14.11.25FI
Japan2
Ghana0
L
12.10.25WC
Ghana1
Comoros0
W
08.10.25WC
Central Africa0
Ghana5
W
08.09.25WC
Ghana1
Mali0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 23rd June 2026, England host Ghana at Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA) in World Cup 2026. We recommend England to win as the standout selection.

England arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ghana are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour England, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Ghana's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: england to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this World Cup 2026 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.20, which the numbers settle at around 60,20,20%. The whistle goes at 9:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

 

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for England vs Ghana?
Our selection is 1 — England to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is England's current form?
England have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ghana been performing recently?
Ghana have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
England lead with 0 wins versus Ghana's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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