PENDING
Result: 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win
DirectWinPredict Croatia HNL Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
D

Dinamo Zagreb

Home Side
W D D W W
7W 3D 0L
VS
7:00 pm
Croatia HNL
S
Slaven Belupo
Away Side
W D L L L
3W 1D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Dinamo Zagreb to win — Friday, 31st July 2026
Best Odds 1.25
Confidence 64%
Implied Prob 80%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals80% Dinamo Zagreb Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
80%
Based on 1.25 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-16%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
8
Dinamo Zagreb
1
Draws
1
Slaven Belupo
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
4.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Dinamo Zagreb won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dinamo Zagreb
Metric
Slaven Belupo
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.1
60%
Clean Sheet %
20%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
D0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 7.7%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.7%
3-1 7.7%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 4.1%
4-1 4.7%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 2.0%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (8.2%) 3-1 (7.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Dinamo Zagreb Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Slaven Belupo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Dinamo Zagreb
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.3
Defence
8.0
Slaven Belupo
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Din. Zagreb4
14.03.26HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Slaven Belupo2
14.12.25HNL
Slaven Belupo2
Din. Zagreb5
28.09.25HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Slaven Belupo1
10.05.25HNL
Din. Zagreb5
Slaven Belupo0
09.03.25HNL
Slaven Belupo0
Din. Zagreb1
06.12.24HNL
Din. Zagreb1
Slaven Belupo1
21.09.24HNL
Slaven Belupo4
Din. Zagreb1
18.05.24HNL
Slaven Belupo2
Din. Zagreb3
10.03.24HNL
Din. Zagreb5
Slaven Belupo2
Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb
28.07.26AET CL
Din. Zagreb3
Thun2
W
21.07.26CL
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
D
14.07.26CF
Din. Zagreb0
LNZ Cherkasy0
D
08.07.26CF
Din. Zagreb4
Koper2
W
02.07.26CF
Grosuplje0
Din. Zagreb9
W
26.06.26CF
Radomlje0
Din. Zagreb3
W
23.05.26HNL
Din. Zagreb0
Lok. Zagreb0
D
17.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Din. Zagreb4
W
13.05.26CUP
Din. Zagreb2
Rijeka0
W
09.05.26HNL
Din. Zagreb2
Hajduk Split0
W
Slaven Belupo
25.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo4
Sesvete0
W
21.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
16.07.26CF
Paks5
Slaven Belupo3
L
14.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
L
10.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo0
Debrecen1
L
08.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo3
Csikszereda M. Ciuc1
W
04.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo2
Zalaegerszegi3
L
22.05.26HNL
Osijek2
Slaven Belupo0
L
17.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Din. Zagreb4
L
10.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Gorica0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Dinamo Zagreb host Slaven Belupo at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb) in Croatia HNL. We recommend Dinamo Zagreb to win as the standout selection.

Dinamo Zagreb arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Slaven Belupo are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dinamo Zagreb, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Slaven Belupo's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dinamo zagreb to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Croatia HNL preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.25, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?
Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?
Dinamo Zagreb have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Slaven Belupo been performing recently?
Slaven Belupo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dinamo Zagreb lead with 8 wins versus Slaven Belupo's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.