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Result: Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka
DirectWinPredict Croatia HNL Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka
D

Dinamo Zagreb

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L
VS
2-2
Croatia HNL
R
Rijeka
Away Side
L W W L D
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Dinamo Zagreb to win — Saturday, 18th April 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 62%
Implied Prob 74.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals95%
Implied Prob
74.6%
Based on 1.34 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-12.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Dinamo Zagreb
4
Draws
1
Rijeka
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
1.9
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Dinamo Zagreb won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dinamo Zagreb
Metric
Rijeka
4.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
9-1-0
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
90%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
D0
0-0 1.9%
0-1 2.3%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 6.4%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 6.7%
3-1 8.0%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 4.6%
4-1 5.5%
4-2 3.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 2.5%
5-1 3.0%
5-2 1.8%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.7%) 3-1 (8.0%) 2-0 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Dinamo Zagreb Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rijeka Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Dinamo Zagreb
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
Rijeka
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.02.26HNL
Rijeka0
Dinamo Zagreb0
01.11.25HNL
Dinamo Zagreb2
Rijeka1
16.08.25HNL
Rijeka0
Dinamo Zagreb2
27.04.25HNL
Dinamo Zagreb1
Rijeka0
22.02.25HNL
Rijeka4
Dinamo Zagreb0
23.11.24HNL
Dinamo Zagreb0
Rijeka0
01.09.24HNL
Rijeka1
Dinamo Zagreb1
22.05.24Cup
Rijeka1
Dinamo Zagreb3
15.05.24Cup
Dinamo Zagreb0
Rijeka0
05.05.24HNL
Rijeka1
Dinamo Zagreb2
Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb
13.04.26HNL
Vukovar 19911
Dinamo Zagreb4
W
08.04.26Cup
Gorica3
Dinamo Zagreb6
W
04.04.26HNL
Dinamo Zagreb7
Osijek0
W
21.03.26HNL
Lok. Zagreb0
Dinamo Zagreb5
W
14.03.26HNL
Dinamo Zagreb4
Slaven Belupo2
W
08.03.26HNL
Hajduk Split1
Dinamo Zagreb3
W
04.03.26Cup
Dinamo Zagreb2
Kurilovec0
W
01.03.26HNL
Dinamo Zagreb4
Gorica2
W
26.02.26Europa League
Genk3
Dinamo Zagreb3
D
22.02.26HNL
Varazdin0
Dinamo Zagreb4
W
Rijeka
12.04.26HNL
Rijeka0
Osijek2
L
08.04.26Cup
Rijeka2
Slaven Belupo0
W
04.04.26HNL
Slaven Belupo0
Rijeka2
W
22.03.26HNL
Gorica4
Rijeka0
L
19.03.26Conference League
Strasbourg1
Rijeka1
D
15.03.26HNL
Rijeka0
Istra 19612
L
12.03.26Conference League
Rijeka1
Strasbourg2
L
08.03.26HNL
Vukovar 19910
Rijeka1
W
04.03.26Cup
Rijeka3
Hajduk Split2
W
01.03.26HNL
Rijeka2
Lok. Zagreb0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Dinamo Zagreb host Rijeka in Croatia HNL. We recommend Dinamo Zagreb to win as the standout selection.

Dinamo Zagreb arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rijeka are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dinamo Zagreb, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rijeka's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dinamo zagreb to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Croatia HNL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?
Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?
Dinamo Zagreb have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rijeka been performing recently?
Rijeka have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dinamo Zagreb lead with 5 wins versus Rijeka's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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