PENDING
Result: 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win
DirectWinPredict Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica
D

Dinamo Zagreb

Home Side
D L W D W
6W 3D 1L
VS
5:00 pm
G
Gorica
Away Side
D L L L L
2W 1D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Dinamo Zagreb to win — Saturday, 5th September 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 84.7%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-23.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Dinamo Zagreb
1
Draws
2
Gorica
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Dinamo Zagreb won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dinamo Zagreb
Metric
Gorica
2.5
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate Comparison
60%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
D0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.5%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.9%) 2-0 (9.5%) 1-0 (9.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Dinamo Zagreb
Overall
6.9
Scoring
8.3
Defence
6.0
Gorica
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.05.26HNL
Gorica1
Din. Zagreb2
08.04.26CUP
Gorica3
Din. Zagreb6
01.03.26HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Gorica2
01.12.25HNL
Gorica0
Din. Zagreb2
14.09.25HNL
Din. Zagreb1
Gorica2
23.04.25HNL
Gorica1
Din. Zagreb0
15.02.25HNL
Din. Zagreb3
Gorica1
09.11.24HNL
Gorica2
Din. Zagreb2
24.08.24HNL
Din. Zagreb2
Gorica1
13.04.24HNL
Gorica0
Din. Zagreb2
Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb
29.08.26HNL
Istra 19612
Din. Zagreb2
D
26.08.26CL
Viking3
Din. Zagreb1
L
22.08.26HNL
Din. Zagreb3
Varazdin1
W
18.08.26CL
Din. Zagreb2
Viking2
D
14.08.26HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Rudes0
W
11.08.26CL
Kauno Zalgiris1
Din. Zagreb2
W
04.08.26CL
Din. Zagreb5
Kauno Zalgiris0
W
31.07.26HNL
Din. Zagreb2
Slaven Belupo0
W
28.07.26CL
Din. Zagreb3
Thun2
W
21.07.26CL
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
D
Gorica
31.08.26HNL
Gorica0
Rijeka0
D
22.08.26HNL
Slaven Belupo2
Gorica0
L
16.08.26HNL
Gorica1
Hajduk Split2
L
08.08.26HNL
Lok. Zagreb3
Gorica1
L
01.08.26HNL
Gorica0
Osijek2
L
23.07.26CF
Gorica0
Shakhtar Donetsk2
L
19.07.26CF
St. Pauli2
Gorica1
L
16.07.26CF
Gorica1
Epitsentr0
W
13.07.26CF
Gorica0
Goztepe2
L
09.07.26CF
Brezice1
Gorica5
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Unknown League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.18, which the numbers settle at around roughly 57. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?
Dinamo Zagreb have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gorica been performing recently?
Gorica have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dinamo Zagreb lead with 7 wins versus Gorica's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.