WON
Result: Coquimbo 1-1 Limache
DirectWinPredict Copa Chile Coquimbo vs Limache
C

Coquimbo

Home Side
W D W W L
6W 3D 1L
VS
1-1
8:00 pm
Copa Chile
L
Limache
Away Side
W L L L L
2W 2D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Coquimbo to win or draw — Tuesday, 23rd June 2026
Best Odds 1.12
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 89.3%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Coquimbo to win or draw
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
89.3%
Based on 1.12 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+0.7%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
6.7%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Coquimbo
0
Draws
2
Limache
6
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Coquimbo
Metric
Limache
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.7
Goals Against / Game
2
50%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate Comparison
60%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
C0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
C2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.4%) 2-1 (9.8%) 1-0 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Coquimbo
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
Limache
Overall
2.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
3.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
31.05.26LDP
Limache2
Coquimbo3
21.01.26SC
Coquimbo3
Limache2
02.08.25LDP
Coquimbo2
Limache1
13.07.25CUP
Coquimbo2
Limache3
11.07.25CUP
Limache2
Coquimbo1
01.03.25LDP
Limache1
Coquimbo2
Recent Form
Coquimbo
20.06.26CUP
Coquimbo3
Deportes Iquique0
W
13.06.26LDP
Coquimbo0
O’Higgins0
D
06.06.26CDL
D. Concepcion1
Coquimbo2
W
31.05.26LDP
Limache2
Coquimbo3
W
27.05.26COP
Nacional1
Coquimbo0
L
22.05.26LDP
Everton1
Coquimbo1
D
19.05.26COP
Coquimbo3
Deportes Tolima0
W
16.05.26LDP
Coquimbo3
A. Italiano0
W
14.05.26CDL
Coquimbo1
Colo Colo0
W
10.05.26CDL
Coquimbo2
Huachipato2
D
Limache
20.06.26CUP
San Marcos de Arica1
Limache3
W
14.06.26LDP
D. Concepcion3
Limache2
L
07.06.26CDL
Limache0
Everton1
L
31.05.26LDP
Limache2
Coquimbo3
L
24.05.26LDP
La Serena4
Limache1
L
17.05.26LDP
Limache0
U. Catolica2
L
12.05.26CDL
Palestino3
Limache2
L
04.05.26CDL
Limache1
O’Higgins1
D
25.04.26LDP
A. Italiano2
Limache2
D
18.04.26LDP
Limache3
U. De Concepcion0
W
Coquimbo (Home)
20.06.26CUP
Coquimbo3
Deportes Iquique0
W
13.06.26LDP
Coquimbo0
O’Higgins0
D
19.05.26COP
Coquimbo3
Deportes Tolima0
W
16.05.26LDP
Coquimbo3
A. Italiano0
W
14.05.26CDL
Coquimbo1
Colo Colo0
W
10.05.26CDL
Coquimbo2
Huachipato2
D
08.05.26COP
Coquimbo2
U. de Deportes1
W
19.04.26LDP
Coquimbo1
Nublense1
D
08.04.26COP
Coquimbo1
Nacional1
D
03.04.26LDP
Coquimbo3
Cobresal2
W
Limache (Away)
20.06.26CUP
San Marcos de Arica1
Limache3
W
14.06.26LDP
D. Concepcion3
Limache2
L
24.05.26LDP
La Serena4
Limache1
L
12.05.26CDL
Palestino3
Limache2
L
25.04.26LDP
A. Italiano2
Limache2
D
12.04.26LDP
Palestino1
Limache0
L
01.04.26CDL
Everton1
Limache2
W
23.03.26CDL
O’Higgins1
Limache1
D
15.03.26LDP
Cobresal2
Limache5
W
07.03.26LDP
Everton1
Limache0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 23rd June 2026, Coquimbo host Limache at Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (Coquimbo) in Copa Chile. We recommend Coquimbo to win or draw as the standout selection.

Coquimbo arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Limache are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Coquimbo, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Limache's 2, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: coquimbo to win or draw at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Copa Chile preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (Coquimbo), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1X, priced at @1.12, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 8:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

 

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Coquimbo vs Limache?
Our selection is 1X — Coquimbo to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Coquimbo's current form?
Coquimbo have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Limache been performing recently?
Limache have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Coquimbo lead with 4 wins versus Limache's 2, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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