PENDING
Result: 1 — Cavalry to win
DirectWinPredict Canadian Premier League Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
C

Cavalry

Home Side
D L W W W
7W 1D 2L
VS
8:00 pm
Canadian Premier League
H
HFX Wanderers
Away Side
W L W L L
3W 1D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Cavalry to win — Saturday, 18th July 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
6
Cavalry
3
Draws
1
HFX Wanderers
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Cavalry won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Cavalry
Metric
HFX Wanderers
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheet %
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
C0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.7%) 2-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Cavalry Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
HFX Wanderers Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Cavalry
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
HFX Wanderers
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
13.09.25CPL
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers1
09.08.25CPL
Cavalry0
HFX Wanderers0
14.06.25CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry1
10.05.25CPL
HFX Wanderers0
Cavalry3
13.10.24CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers1
10.08.24CPL
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers2
01.07.24CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry0
11.05.24CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry1
12.09.23CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry2
Recent Form
Cavalry
14.07.26CHA
Cavalry1
Vancouver Whitecaps1
D
09.07.26CHA
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Cavalry1
L
04.07.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa0
Cavalry3
W
11.06.26CPL
Inter Toronto1
Cavalry5
W
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
W
31.05.26CPL
Forge1
Cavalry0
L
24.05.26CPL
Cavalry3
Pacific FC0
W
18.05.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
Cavalry2
W
10.05.26CHA
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
W
03.05.26CPL
Supra du Quebec0
Cavalry1
W
HFX Wanderers
05.07.26CPL
Pacific FC1
HFX Wanderers2
W
01.07.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Atl. Ottawa3
L
26.06.26CPL
HFX Wanderers5
Pacific FC2
W
11.06.26CPL
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
L
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
L
30.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver FC0
W
23.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Inter Toronto1
D
17.05.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa1
HFX Wanderers0
L
09.05.26CHA
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
L
02.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Forge3
L
Cavalry (Home)
14.07.26CHA
Cavalry1
Vancouver Whitecaps1
D
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
W
24.05.26CPL
Cavalry3
Pacific FC0
W
25.04.26CPL
Cavalry1
Inter Toronto1
D
12.04.26CPL
Cavalry3
Atl. Ottawa1
W
26.10.25CPL
Cavalry4
Inter Toronto1
W
11.10.25CPL
Cavalry1
Forge1
D
20.09.25CPL
Cavalry3
Valour0
W
13.09.25CPL
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers1
W
30.08.25CPL
Cavalry4
Forge1
W
HFX Wanderers (Away)
05.07.26CPL
Pacific FC1
HFX Wanderers2
W
11.06.26CPL
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
L
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
L
17.05.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa1
HFX Wanderers0
L
09.05.26CHA
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
L
25.04.26CPL
Supra du Quebec2
HFX Wanderers1
L
11.04.26CPL
Inter Toronto2
HFX Wanderers2
D
05.04.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
HFX Wanderers1
W
11.10.25CPL
Valour0
HFX Wanderers3
W
28.09.25CPL
Vancouver FC3
HFX Wanderers1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Cavalry host HFX Wanderers at ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB) in Canadian Premier League. We recommend Cavalry to win as the standout selection.

Cavalry arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

HFX Wanderers are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cavalry, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to HFX Wanderers's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cavalry to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Canadian Premier League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.38, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 8:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?
Our selection is 1 — Cavalry to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Cavalry's current form?
Cavalry have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has HFX Wanderers been performing recently?
HFX Wanderers have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cavalry lead with 6 wins versus HFX Wanderers's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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