PENDING
Result: 1 — Bodo Glimt to win
DirectWinPredict Norway Eliteserien Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom
B

Bodo Glimt

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L
VS
8:00 pm
Norway Eliteserien
L
Lillestrom
Away Side
L W W W L
4W 0D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Bodo Glimt to win — Friday, 31st July 2026
Best Odds 1.26
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 79.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bodo Glimt to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% Bodo Glimt Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
79.4%
Based on 1.26 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-12.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Bodo Glimt
1
Draws
2
Lillestrom
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Bodo Glimt won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Bodo Glimt
Metric
Lillestrom
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheet %
10%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate Comparison
90%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
B0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 8.9%
1-1 8.5%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 10.3%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 7.9%
3-1 7.5%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 4.5%
4-1 4.3%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 2.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (10.3%) 2-1 (9.7%) 1-0 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Bodo Glimt Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Lillestrom Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Bodo Glimt
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.3
Lillestrom
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
26.04.26ELI
Lillestrom0
Bodo/Glimt2
22.03.26NMC
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom0
01.12.24ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Lillestrom2
01.05.24NMC
Bodo/Glimt2
Lillestrom4
14.04.24ELI
Lillestrom0
Bodo/Glimt5
30.10.23ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Lillestrom1
07.05.23ELI
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt2
26.04.23NMC
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt0
01.10.22ELI
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt4
08.05.22ELI
Bodo/Glimt1
Lillestrom1
Recent Form
Bodo Glimt
26.07.26ELI
Sandefjord0
Bodo/Glimt3
W
22.07.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
HamKam0
W
17.07.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt1
Fredrikstad0
W
12.07.26ELI
KFUM Oslo0
Bodo/Glimt2
W
04.07.26CF
Bodo/Glimt4
Start0
W
28.06.26CF
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt4
W
29.05.26ELI
Rosenborg2
Bodo/Glimt2
D
24.05.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Brann1
W
20.05.26ELI
Start1
Bodo/Glimt4
W
16.05.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Tromso0
W
Lillestrom
22.07.26ELI
Lillestrom1
Viking2
L
18.07.26ELI
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo1
W
11.07.26ELI
Fredrikstad0
Lillestrom2
W
03.07.26CF
Lillestrom3
Sarpsborg 081
W
26.06.26CF
Lillestrom2
Degerfors3
L
20.06.26CF
Midtjylland1
Lillestrom0
L
25.05.26ELI
HamKam2
Lillestrom0
L
20.05.26ELI
Lillestrom1
Kristiansund2
L
16.05.26ELI
Lillestrom3
Sandefjord1
W
10.05.26ELI
Rosenborg2
Lillestrom0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Bodo Glimt host Lillestrom at Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø) in Norway Eliteserien. We recommend Bodo Glimt to win as the standout selection.

Bodo Glimt arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Lillestrom are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bodo Glimt, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Lillestrom's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bodo glimt to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Norway Eliteserien preview lives.

The home team strides in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.26, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 8:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom?
Our selection is 1 — Bodo Glimt to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Bodo Glimt's current form?
Bodo Glimt have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lillestrom been performing recently?
Lillestrom have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bodo Glimt lead with 7 wins versus Lillestrom's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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