WON

Result: Babrungas 3-0 Zalgiris 2

Babrungas

Home Side

D W L W W

7W 1D 2L

3-0

Lithuania 1 Lyga

Zalgiris 2

Away Side

D L D D W

3W 4D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Babrungas to win — Friday, 15th May 2026

Best Odds 1.36

Confidence 51%

Implied Prob 73.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Babrungas

Draws

Zalgiris 2

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

2.9

Avg Goals

Against Pick Babrungas won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Babrungas

Metric

Zalgiris 2

1.9

Goals For / Game

1.2

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.4

50%

Clean Sheet %

50%

7-1-2

W — D — L

3-4-3

Win Rate Comparison

70%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 7.1%

0-2 3.7%

0-3 1.3%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 11.1%

1-1 11.6%

1-2 6.1%

1-3 2.1%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.2%

2-1 9.6%

2-2 5.0%

2-3 1.8%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.0%

3-1 5.3%

3-2 2.8%

3-3 1.0%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.1%

4-1 2.2%

4-2 1.1%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.1%) 2-1 (9.6%) 2-0 (9.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ Z=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Babrungas Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Zalgiris 2 Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Babrungas

Overall

7.3 ▲

Scoring

6.3 ▲

Defence

7.0 ▲

Zalgiris 2

Overall

4.2 ▲

Scoring

4.0 ▲

Defence

5.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Home Win & BTTS No 34%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Away Win & BTTS No 14%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 34%

Home Win & Under 2.5 22%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 14%

Away Win & Under 2.5 10%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

25.07.25IL

Babrungas2

Zalgiris 21

16.03.25IL

Zalgiris 22

Babrungas2

12.08.23IL

Zalgiris 22

Babrungas1

23.03.23IL

Babrungas2

Zalgiris 20

12.10.22IL

Babrungas1

Zalgiris 20

08.04.22IL

Zalgiris 20

Babrungas0

11.09.21IL

Zalgiris 23

Babrungas3

15.05.21IL

Babrungas2

Zalgiris 23

06.08.06IL

Zalgiris 24

Babrungas0

22.04.06IL

Babrungas0

Zalgiris 21

Recent Form

Babrungas

09.05.26IL

Atmosfera1

Babrungas1

01.05.26IL

Babrungas4

BFA Vilnius0

28.04.26CUP

BFA Vilnius1

Babrungas0

24.04.26IL

Babrungas1

Garliava0

18.04.26IL

Tauras Taurage1

Babrungas2

04.04.26IL

Babrungas1

Neptunas0

22.03.26IL

Babrungas3

Dainava Alytus1

18.03.26IL

Babrungas3

Transinvest 20

14.03.26IL

Ekranas0

Babrungas3

09.11.25IL

Babrungas1

Siauliai 25

Zalgiris 2

08.05.26IL

Zalgiris 22

Tauras Taurage2

02.05.26IL

Neptunas2

Zalgiris 21

24.04.26IL

Zalgiris 20

Dainava Alytus0

19.04.26IL

Transinvest 22

Zalgiris 22

12.04.26IL

Kauno Zalgiris 20

Zalgiris 21

03.04.26IL

Zalgiris 24

Siauliai 20

17.03.26IL

Zalgiris 21

Ekranas0

14.03.26IL

FK Minija4

Zalgiris 20

09.11.25IL

Transinvest4

Zalgiris 21

31.10.25IL

Zalgiris 20

Jonava0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Lithuania 1 Lyga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.36 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Babrungas vs Zalgiris 2?

Our selection is 1 — Babrungas to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 51%.

What is Babrungas's current form?

Babrungas have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?

Zalgiris 2 have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Babrungas lead with 3 wins versus Zalgiris 2's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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