WON
Result: Al Talaba 2-1 Al Najaf
DirectWinPredict Iraq Stars League Al Talaba vs Al Najaf
A

Al Talaba

Home Side
L D W D W
5W 3D 2L
VS
2-1
Iraq Stars League
A
Al Najaf
Away Side
L L W L D
1W 2D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Talaba to win — Wednesday, 8th April 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 71.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
5
Al Talaba
1
Draws
4
Al Najaf
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Al Talaba won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Talaba
Metric
Al Najaf
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate Comparison
50%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.0%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 11.3%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.0%) 2-0 (11.3%) 2-1 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Talaba Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Najaf Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Talaba
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.0
Al Najaf
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
26.10.25
Stars League: Al-Najaf1
Al-Talaba0
03.07.25
Stars League: Al-Najaf2
Al-Talaba0
04.01.25
Stars League: Al-Talaba2
Al-Najaf1
08.05.24
Stars League: Al-Najaf2
Al-Talaba0
09.03.24
Stars League: Al-Talaba2
Al-Najaf1
21.07.23
Stars League: Al-Najaf1
Al-Talaba2
01.03.23
Stars League: Al-Talaba1
Al-Najaf1
14.02.22
Stars League: Al-Najaf1
Al-Talaba3
26.09.21
Stars League: Al-Talaba1
Al-Najaf0
27.04.21
Stars League: Al-Najaf2
Al-Talaba0
Recent Form
Al Talaba
04.04.26
Stars League: Duhok SC1
Al-Talaba SC0
L
30.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC0
Al-Naft SC0
D
25.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC2
Amanat Baghdad1
W
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta SC3
Al-Talaba SC3
D
12.03.26
Stars League: Al-Kahrabaa1
Al-Talaba SC2
W
06.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC2
Al-Qasim SC0
W
28.02.26
Stars League: Naft Maysan0
Al-Talaba SC1
W
20.02.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC1
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya2
L
13.02.26
Stars League: Al-Karkh SC0
Al-Talaba SC2
W
05.02.26
Stars League: Al-Karma SC1
Al-Talaba SC1
D
Al Najaf
04.04.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Shorta SC3
L
31.03.26
Stars League: Al-Gharraf SC1
Al-Najaf SC0
L
27.03.26
Stars League: Diyala SC1
Al-Najaf SC2
W
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Mosul SC2
L
13.03.26
Stars League: Al-Naft SC1
Al-Najaf SC1
D
06.03.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC0
Al-Minaa SC1
L
28.02.26
Stars League: Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya2
Al-Najaf SC0
L
20.02.26
Stars League: Newroz SC2
Al-Najaf SC0
L
14.02.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Kahrabaa SC2
L
05.02.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Qasim SC1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iraq Stars League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Talaba vs Al Najaf?
Our selection is 1 — Al Talaba to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Al Talaba's current form?
Al Talaba have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Najaf been performing recently?
Al Najaf have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Talaba lead with 5 wins versus Al Najaf's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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