WON
Result: Al Salmiya 2-1 Al Fahaleel
DirectWinPredict Kuwait Premier League Al Salmiya vs Al Fahaleel
A

Al Salmiya

Home Side
D L D W W
5W 2D 3L
VS
2-1
5:05 pm
Kuwait Premier League
A
Al Fahaleel
Away Side
D L L L W
2W 2D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Monday, 22nd June 2026
Best Odds 1.22
Confidence 73%
Implied Prob 82%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.22
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No80%
Implied Prob
82%
Based on 1.22 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Al Salmiya
7
Draws
0
Al Fahaleel
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Salmiya
Metric
Al Fahaleel
1.5
Goals For / Game
0
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0
50%
Clean Sheet %
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate Comparison
50%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 27.3%
0-1 15.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 20.4%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 1.2%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-0 (27.3%) 1-0 (20.4%) 0-1 (15.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Salmiya
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Al Fahaleel
Overall
2.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
07.05.25PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Salmiya1
08.02.25PL
Al-Fahaheel2
Al Salmiya2
21.09.24PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel2
27.05.24PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Salmiya1
02.05.24PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel0
07.03.24PL
Al-Fahaheel4
Al Salmiya1
06.12.23PL
Al Salmiya0
Al-Fahaheel0
20.05.23PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel1
Recent Form
Al Salmiya
19.06.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Kuwait3
D
16.06.26PL
Al Qadisiya3
Al Salmiya2
L
12.06.26PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Kuwait0
D
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
W
23.05.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Shabab0
W
15.05.26PL
Al Qadisiya2
Al Salmiya1
L
23.02.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
W
14.02.26EMI
Al Salmiya2
Al Sulaibikhat1
W
07.02.26PL
Al Jahra0
Al Salmiya1
W
28.01.26SC
Al Kuwait2
Al Salmiya0
L
Al Fahaleel
19.06.26PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Kazma SC1
D
16.06.26PL
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
L
13.06.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
L
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
L
24.05.26PL
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
W
21.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Kuwait4
L
22.02.26PL
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
L
12.02.26EMI
Al-Fahaheel3
Al Shabab2
W
05.02.26PL
Al Shabab1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
23.01.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Qadisiya2
L
Al Salmiya (Home)
19.06.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Kuwait3
D
12.06.26PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Kuwait0
D
23.05.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Shabab0
W
23.02.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
W
14.02.26EMI
Al Salmiya2
Al Sulaibikhat1
W
23.01.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Tadamon1
W
14.01.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Naser1
D
06.01.26CRO
Al Salmiya1
Al Tadamon2
L
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
L
27.10.25PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Qadisiya0
D
Al Fahaleel (Away)
16.06.26PL
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
L
13.06.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
L
24.05.26PL
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
W
22.02.26PL
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
L
05.02.26PL
Al Shabab1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
19.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel0
L
15.01.26PL
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
28.12.25PL
Al Kuwait5
Al-Fahaheel0
L
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
W
22.09.25PL
Al Qadisiya5
Al-Fahaheel1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Al Salmiya host Al Fahaleel in Kuwait Premier League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Al Salmiya arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Fahaleel are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Salmiya, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Al Fahaleel's 0, with 7 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Kuwait Premier League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.22, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 5:05 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

 

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Salmiya vs Al Fahaleel?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Al Salmiya's current form?
Al Salmiya have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Fahaleel been performing recently?
Al Fahaleel have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Salmiya lead with 3 wins versus Al Fahaleel's 0, with 7 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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