WON
Result: Al Qanah 1-0 Aswan
DirectWinPredict Egypt Division 2 A Al Qanah vs Aswan
A

Al Qanah

Home Side
D L W W W
6W 3D 1L
VS
1-0
Egypt Division 2 A
A
Aswan
Away Side
L L D L D
1W 3D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Qanah to win — Thursday, 30th April 2026
Best Odds 1.25
Confidence 47%
Implied Prob 80%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Al Qanah
3
Draws
0
Aswan
4
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
1.5
Avg Goals
Against Pick Al Qanah won 1 of the last 4 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Qanah
Metric
Aswan
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.6
50%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 17.7%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 14.2%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 2.6%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 7.6%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (17.7%) 2-0 (14.2%) 2-1 (8.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Qanah Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Aswan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Qanah
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
8.0
Aswan
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.12.25D2A
Aswan SC0
Al Qanah2
21.02.25D2A
Al Qanah0
Aswan SC0
28.10.24D2A
Aswan SC1
Al Qanah1
29.11.23D2A
Al Qanah1
Aswan SC1
Recent Form
Al Qanah
23.04.26D2A
Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat1
Al Qanah1
D
16.04.26D2A
Al Qanah1
El Daklyeh2
L
10.04.26D2A
Al Qanah2
Baladiyat El Mahalla1
W
03.04.26D2A
Masar0
Al Qanah2
W
27.03.26D2A
Al Qanah4
Al-Sekka1
W
12.03.26D2A
El-Entag El-Harby1
Al Qanah1
D
06.03.26D2A
Al Qanah3
Abu Qir Semad0
W
26.02.26D2A
Tanta0
Al Qanah1
W
12.02.26D2A
Al Qanah1
Asyut Petroleum0
W
05.02.26D2A
El Mansoura0
Al Qanah0
D
Aswan
23.04.26D2A
Aswan SC0
Masar2
L
16.04.26D2A
Al-Sekka2
Aswan SC1
L
09.04.26D2A
Aswan SC2
El-Entag El-Harby2
D
02.04.26D2A
Abu Qir Semad3
Aswan SC0
L
26.03.26D2A
Aswan SC0
Tanta0
D
12.03.26D2A
Asyut Petroleum3
Aswan SC1
L
06.03.26D2A
Aswan SC1
El Mansoura0
W
27.02.26D2A
Raya2
Aswan SC0
L
12.02.26D2A
Aswan SC1
Tersana1
D
06.02.26D2A
La Viena1
Aswan SC0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 30th April 2026, Al Qanah host Aswan in Egypt Division 2 A. We recommend Al Qanah to win as the standout selection.

Al Qanah arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Aswan are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Qanah, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Aswan's 0, with 3 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al qanah to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Egypt Division 2 A game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Qanah vs Aswan?
Our selection is 1 — Al Qanah to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Al Qanah's current form?
Al Qanah have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aswan been performing recently?
Aswan have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Qanah lead with 1 wins versus Aswan's 0, with 3 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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