WON
Result: Abha 1-0 Jeddah
DirectWinPredict Saudi Division 1 Abha vs Jeddah
A

Abha

Home Side
W W W D D
8W 2D 0L
VS
1-0
Saudi Division 1
J
Jeddah
Away Side
L W L W L
2W 1D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Abha to win — Wednesday, 15th April 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 54%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Abha to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-31.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Abha
5
Draws
0
Jeddah
7
Meetings
86%
BTTS Rate
57%
Over 2.5
3.4
Avg Goals
Against Pick Abha won 2 of the last 7 meetings (5 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Abha
Metric
Jeddah
2
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
8-2-0
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate Comparison
80%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
A0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 4.2%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 3.9%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 8.3%
3-1 7.0%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 4.4%
4-1 3.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.9%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (11.5%) 1-0 (10.7%) 2-1 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   J=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Abha Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Jeddah Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Abha
Overall
8.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
Jeddah
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 49%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 49%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
21.12.25Division 1
Jeddah1
Abha1
10.03.25Division 1
Jeddah0
Abha0
30.10.24Division 1
Abha2
Jeddah2
17.04.19Division 1
Jeddah3
Abha3
28.11.18Division 1
Abha1
Jeddah1
23.01.13Division 1
Jeddah1
Abha4
12.09.12Division 1
Abha3
Jeddah2
Recent Form
Abha
09.04.26Division 1
Al-Ula1
Abha2
W
03.04.26Division 1
Al Bukayriyah1
Abha2
W
27.03.26Division 1
Abha2
Al Jubail0
W
01.03.26Division 1
Al Jandal1
Abha1
D
24.02.26Division 1
Abha1
Al Anwar1
D
20.02.26Division 1
Al Arabi1
Abha3
W
15.02.26Division 1
Abha2
Al Wehda1
W
09.02.26Division 1
Abha2
Al Zulfi0
W
03.02.26Division 1
Al Orubah1
Abha2
W
27.01.26Division 1
Abha3
Al Jabalain1
W
Jeddah
08.04.26Division 1
Jeddah0
Al Raed2
L
02.04.26Division 1
Al Jandal1
Jeddah2
W
08.03.26Division 1
Jeddah0
Al-Ula4
L
02.03.26Division 1
Al Arabi0
Jeddah1
W
25.02.26Division 1
Jeddah0
Al Diriyah5
L
19.02.26Division 1
Al Adalah2
Jeddah2
D
14.02.26Division 1
Jeddah1
Al Batin2
L
10.02.26Division 1
Al Anwar2
Jeddah1
L
02.02.26Division 1
Jeddah1
Al Jabalain3
L
28.01.26Division 1
Al Wehda2
Jeddah1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Division 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.17 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Abha vs Jeddah?
Our selection is 1 — Abha to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Abha's current form?
Abha have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jeddah been performing recently?
Jeddah have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Abha lead with 2 wins versus Jeddah's 0, with 5 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 86%.
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