PENDING
Result: 1 — Kattaqurgon to win
DirectWinPredict Uzbekistan Pro Liga Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
K

Kattaqurgon

Home Side
W W L W D
6W 3D 1L
VS
4:00 pm
Uzbekistan Pro Liga
P
Pakhtakor II
Away Side
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Kattaqurgon to win — Tuesday, 4th August 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 54%
Implied Prob 84.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kattaqurgon to win
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No70% Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-30.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kattaqurgon
Metric
Pakhtakor II
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
2.7
60%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 15.6%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 2.4%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
K2
2-0 15.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 10.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.6%) 2-0 (15.6%) 3-0 (10.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   P=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Kattaqurgon Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pakhtakor II Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kattaqurgon
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.3
Pakhtakor II
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
1.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Kattaqurgon
30.07.26PL
TerDU0
Kattaqurgon2
W
25.07.26PL
Kattaqurgon2
Yaypan1
W
09.06.26PL
Lochin2
Kattaqurgon0
L
04.06.26PL
Kattaqurgon3
FarDU0
W
31.05.26PL
Metallurg Bekabad1
Kattaqurgon1
D
04.05.26PL
Olimpik-Mobiuz0
Kattaqurgon0
D
30.04.26PL
Kattaqurgon1
BuxDu0
W
26.04.26PL
Respublika FA0
Kattaqurgon1
W
21.04.26PL
Kattaqurgon1
Aral1
D
17.04.26PL
Gazalkent0
Kattaqurgon2
W
Pakhtakor II
30.07.26PL
Pakhtakor II1
Olimpik-Mobiuz4
L
24.07.26PL
BuxDu2
Pakhtakor II0
L
08.06.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Respublika FA3
L
03.06.26PL
Aral3
Pakhtakor II0
L
30.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II1
Gazalkent2
L
22.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Yaypan1
L
05.05.26PL
Shortan Guzor2
Pakhtakor II0
L
01.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Jayxun3
L
25.04.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Metallurg Bekabad5
L
19.04.26PL
TerDU2
Pakhtakor II4
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 4th August 2026, Kattaqurgon host Pakhtakor II at N/A in Uzbekistan Pro Liga. We recommend Kattaqurgon to win as the standout selection.

Kattaqurgon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pakhtakor II are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 9L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: kattaqurgon to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Uzbekistan Pro Liga preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 5 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.18, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 4:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II?
Our selection is 1 — Kattaqurgon to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Kattaqurgon's current form?
Kattaqurgon have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pakhtakor II been performing recently?
Pakhtakor II have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
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