PENDING
Result: 1 — Cork City to win
DirectWinPredict Ireland Division 1 Cork City vs Athlone
C

Cork City

Home Side
W L L L L
6W 0D 4L
VS
5:00 pm
Ireland Division 1
A
Athlone
Away Side
D L W W L
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Cork City to win — Monday, 3rd August 2026
Best Odds 1.42
Confidence 56%
Implied Prob 70.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cork City to win
1.42
BTTS — No65% Cork City Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
70.4%
Based on 1.42 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-14.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Cork City
1
Draws
3
Athlone
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Cork City won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Athlone
2.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
60%
Clean Sheet %
30%
6-0-4
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
C0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
C1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
C2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.1%) 1-0 (7.7%) 2-0 (6.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Cork City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Athlone Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Cork City
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.7
Defence
3.7
Athlone
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 41%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Cork City3
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
11.10.24DIV
Athlone4
Cork City1
09.08.24DIV
Cork City0
Athlone0
31.05.24DIV
Athlone1
Cork City0
29.03.24DIV
Cork City1
Athlone0
14.10.22DIV
Athlone3
Cork City2
05.08.22DIV
Cork City6
Athlone1
06.05.22DIV
Athlone1
Cork City2
25.03.22DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
Recent Form
Cork City
31.07.26DIV
Finn Harps0
Cork City3
W
24.07.26DIV
UC Dublin5
Cork City2
L
17.07.26FAI
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City (AET)1
L
14.07.26CF
Cork City1
Cardiff6
L
10.07.26DIV
Cork City3
Longford4
L
03.07.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
W
26.06.26DIV
Cork City2
Bray0
W
19.06.26DIV
Cork City4
Treaty United0
W
12.06.26DIV
Wexford0
Cork City2
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
Athlone
31.07.26DIV
Athlone0
UC Dublin0
D
24.07.26DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone1
L
17.07.26FAI
Athlone3
Midleton0
W
10.07.26DIV
Athlone2
Cobh Ramblers0
W
03.07.26DIV
Bray1
Athlone0
L
26.06.26DIV
Athlone1
Finn Harps1
D
19.06.26DIV
Athlone2
Wexford2
D
12.06.26DIV
Kerry1
Athlone0
L
29.05.26DIV
UC Dublin1
Athlone0
L
22.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Cork City3
L
Cork City (Home)
14.07.26CF
Cork City1
Cardiff6
L
10.07.26DIV
Cork City3
Longford4
L
26.06.26DIV
Cork City2
Bray0
W
19.06.26DIV
Cork City4
Treaty United0
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
08.05.26DIV
Cork City3
UC Dublin1
W
01.05.26DIV
Cork City0
Cobh Ramblers1
L
17.04.26DIV
Cork City2
Wexford1
W
06.04.26DIV
Cork City4
Kerry2
W
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
W
Athlone (Away)
24.07.26DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone1
L
03.07.26DIV
Bray1
Athlone0
L
12.06.26DIV
Kerry1
Athlone0
L
29.05.26DIV
UC Dublin1
Athlone0
L
15.05.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Athlone0
L
04.05.26DIV
Longford1
Athlone1
D
24.04.26DIV
Finn Harps1
Athlone2
W
10.04.26DIV
Wexford1
Athlone0
L
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
L
20.03.26DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Cork City host Athlone at Turner's Cross (Cork) in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Athlone are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Athlone's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Ireland Division 1 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Turner’s Cross (Cork), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.42, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Athlone?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Athlone been performing recently?
Athlone have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Athlone's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.