PENDING
Result: 2 — Blacktown Spartans to win
DirectWinPredict Australia NSW League One Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
P

Prospect United

Home Side
D L L D D
1W 6D 3L
VS
11:00 am
Australia NSW League One
B
Blacktown Spartans
Away Side
W W W W W
7W 2D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Blacktown Spartans to win — Friday, 31st July 2026
Best Odds 1.37
Confidence 66%
Implied Prob 73%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Blacktown Spartans to win
1.37
Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes75%
Implied Prob
73%
Based on 1.37 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Prospect United
0
Draws
1
Blacktown Spartans
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Blacktown Spartans won 1 of 1 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Prospect United
Metric
Blacktown Spartans
1.1
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
1-6-3
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate Comparison
10%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
P0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 9.5%
0-3 6.6%
0-4 3.5%
0-5 1.5%
P1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.7%
1-5 1.5%
P2
2-0 2.4%
2-1 5.0%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.8%
P3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
P4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.9%) 0-2 (9.5%) 0-1 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Prospect United Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Blacktown Spartans Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Prospect United
Overall
2.8
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
Blacktown Spartans
Overall
7.6
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 2%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 5%
Home Win & Under 2.5 3%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.04.26NLO
Blacktown Spartans4
Prospect United0
Recent Form
Prospect United
25.07.26NLO
Inter Lions1
Prospect United1
D
17.07.26NLO
Prospect United1
Macarthur Rams2
L
11.07.26NLO
Canterbury Bankstown2
Prospect United1
L
03.07.26NLO
Prospect United1
Hakoah Sydney1
D
28.06.26NLO
Prospect United1
Bulls Academy1
D
20.06.26NLO
Hills United0
Prospect United0
D
14.06.26NLO
Prospect United0
Dulwich Hill0
D
06.06.26NLO
Newcastle Jets U232
Prospect United2
D
31.05.26NLO
Prospect United0
Northern Tigers3
L
24.05.26NLO
Central Coast Mariners U232
Prospect United4
W
Blacktown Spartans
25.07.26NLO
Northern Tigers0
Blacktown Spartans3
W
18.07.26NLO
Canterbury Bankstown1
Blacktown Spartans2
W
12.07.26NLO
Central Coast Mariners U230
Blacktown Spartans2
W
04.07.26NLO
Blacktown Spartans7
Newcastle Jets U232
W
26.06.26NLO
Blacktown Spartans3
Rydalmere Lions1
W
20.06.26NLO
Dulwich Hill1
Blacktown Spartans1
D
12.06.26NLO
Blacktown Spartans4
Bankstown City Lions1
W
06.06.26NLO
Hakoah Sydney2
Blacktown Spartans1
L
29.05.26NLO
Blacktown Spartans4
Western City Rangers1
W
23.05.26NLO
Hills United1
Blacktown Spartans1
D
Prospect United (Home)
17.07.26NLO
Prospect United1
Macarthur Rams2
L
03.07.26NLO
Prospect United1
Hakoah Sydney1
D
28.06.26NLO
Prospect United1
Bulls Academy1
D
14.06.26NLO
Prospect United0
Dulwich Hill0
D
31.05.26NLO
Prospect United0
Northern Tigers3
L
08.05.26NLO
Prospect United0
Bankstown City Lions1
L
01.05.26NLO
Prospect United2
Rydalmere Lions2
D
10.04.26NLO
Prospect United1
Inter Lions1
D
28.03.26NLO
Prospect United1
Canterbury Bankstown1
D
08.03.26NLO
Prospect United2
Hills United3
L
21.02.26NLO
Prospect United1
Newcastle Jets U231
D
Blacktown Spartans (Away)
25.07.26NLO
Northern Tigers0
Blacktown Spartans3
W
18.07.26NLO
Canterbury Bankstown1
Blacktown Spartans2
W
12.07.26NLO
Central Coast Mariners U230
Blacktown Spartans2
W
20.06.26NLO
Dulwich Hill1
Blacktown Spartans1
D
06.06.26NLO
Hakoah Sydney2
Blacktown Spartans1
L
23.05.26NLO
Hills United1
Blacktown Spartans1
D
08.05.26NLO
Hurstville Zagreb2
Blacktown Spartans2
D
25.04.26NLO
Inter Lions1
Blacktown Spartans2
W
21.03.26NLO
Newcastle Jets U233
Blacktown Spartans3
D
14.03.26NLO
Rydalmere Lions2
Blacktown Spartans3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Prospect United host Blacktown Spartans at N/A in Australia NSW League One. We recommend Blacktown Spartans to win as the standout selection.

Prospect United arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Blacktown Spartans are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Prospect United, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Blacktown Spartans's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: blacktown spartans to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Australia NSW League One preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 5 wins from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.37, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 11:00 am.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans?
Our selection is 2 — Blacktown Spartans to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Prospect United's current form?
Prospect United have won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Blacktown Spartans been performing recently?
Blacktown Spartans have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Prospect United lead with 0 wins versus Blacktown Spartans's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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