PENDING
Result: 1 — KTP to win
DirectWinPredict Finland Ykkosliiga KTP vs SJK Akatemia
K

KTP

Home Side
D L W D W
1W 4D 5L
VS
4:30 pm
Finland Ykkosliiga
S
SJK Akatemia
Away Side
D D D W W
1W 4D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing KTP to win — Friday, 31st July 2026
Best Odds 1.24
Confidence 45%
Implied Prob 80.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — KTP to win
1.24
Under 2.5 Goals90% BTTS — No90%
Implied Prob
80.6%
Based on 1.24 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-35.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
KTP
2
Draws
0
SJK Akatemia
9
Meetings
44%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick KTP won 7 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
KTP
Metric
SJK Akatemia
0.1
Goals For / Game
0.8
0
Goals Against / Game
1
10%
Clean Sheet %
30%
1-4-5
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate Comparison
10%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
K0
0-0 38.7%
0-1 15.5%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 21.3%
1-1 8.5%
1-2 1.7%
1-3 0.2%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
K2
2-0 5.9%
2-1 2.3%
2-2 0.5%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 0.4%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (21.3%) 2-0 (5.9%) 2-1 (2.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
KTP Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
SJK Akatemia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
KTP
Overall
2.2
Scoring
0.3
Defence
10.0
SJK Akatemia
Overall
2.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 60%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 2%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 60%
Away Win & Over 2.5 2%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.05.26YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
07.03.26YKC
SJK Akatemia1
KTP2
19.08.24YKS
KTP3
SJK Akatemia3
20.06.24YKS
SJK Akatemia0
KTP3
24.04.24YKS
KTP5
SJK Akatemia1
12.08.22YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
11.06.22YKS
SJK Akatemia1
KTP1
07.09.20YKS
KTP4
SJK Akatemia0
04.07.20YKS
SJK Akatemia0
KTP3
Recent Form
KTP
25.07.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Ekenas0
D
17.07.26YKS
KaPa2
SJK Akatemia2
D
11.07.26YKS
SJK Akatemia1
Mikkeli1
D
03.07.26YKS
JaPS1
SJK Akatemia0
L
26.06.26YKS
Klubi 042
SJK Akatemia0
L
15.06.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Haka2
L
09.06.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Jippo0
D
29.05.26YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
L
26.05.26CUP
SJK Akatemia0
SJK5
L
22.05.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Haka1
L
SJK Akatemia
25.07.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Ekenas0
D
17.07.26YKS
KaPa2
SJK Akatemia2
D
11.07.26YKS
SJK Akatemia1
Mikkeli1
D
03.07.26YKS
JaPS1
SJK Akatemia0
L
26.06.26YKS
Klubi 042
SJK Akatemia0
L
15.06.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Haka2
L
09.06.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Jippo0
D
29.05.26YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
L
26.05.26CUP
SJK Akatemia0
SJK5
L
22.05.26YKS
SJK Akatemia0
Haka1
L
KTP (Home)
18.07.26YKS
KTP0
PK-351
L
10.07.26YKS
KTP4
JaPS1
W
03.07.26YKS
KTP3
Jippo3
D
12.06.26YKS
KTP5
Ekenas1
W
08.06.26YKS
KTP0
Haka2
L
29.05.26YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
W
09.05.26YKS
KTP2
KaPa1
W
13.04.26CUP
KTP1
Lahti3
L
10.04.26YKS
KTP1
Mikkeli0
W
28.03.26CF
KTP1
Gnistan1
D
SJK Akatemia (Away)
17.07.26YKS
KaPa2
SJK Akatemia2
D
03.07.26YKS
JaPS1
SJK Akatemia0
L
26.06.26YKS
Klubi 042
SJK Akatemia0
L
29.05.26YKS
KTP1
SJK Akatemia0
L
17.05.26YKS
Ekenas3
SJK Akatemia0
L
02.05.26YKS
Klubi 041
SJK Akatemia1
D
28.04.26CUP
OLS Oulu1
SJK Akatemia2
W
25.04.26YKS
Jippo1
SJK Akatemia0
L
14.04.26CUP
VPV0
SJK Akatemia3
W
10.04.26YKS
KaPa2
SJK Akatemia2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, KTP host SJK Akatemia at Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka) in Finland Ykkosliiga. We recommend KTP to win as the standout selection.

KTP arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

SJK Akatemia are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KTP, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to SJK Akatemia's 0, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 44% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ktp to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Finland Ykkosliiga preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.24, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 4:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KTP vs SJK Akatemia?
Our selection is 1 — KTP to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is KTP's current form?
KTP have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has SJK Akatemia been performing recently?
SJK Akatemia have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KTP lead with 7 wins versus SJK Akatemia's 0, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 44%.
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