PENDING
Result: 1 — Apollon to win
DirectWinPredict Conference League Qualifiers Apollon vs Dila Gori
A

Apollon

Home Side
W D W W L
6W 1D 3L
VS
6:00 pm
Conference League Qualifiers
D
Dila Gori
Away Side
W L L W L
4W 0D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Apollon to win — Tuesday, 28th July 2026
Best Odds 1.36
Confidence 62%
Implied Prob 73.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Apollon
0
Draws
0
Dila Gori
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Apollon won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Apollon
Metric
Dila Gori
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
50%
Clean Sheet %
22%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-0-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
44%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
A0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
A1
1-0 8.2%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 6.8%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
A3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.2%) 1-0 (8.2%) 2-0 (6.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   D=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Apollon Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Dila Gori Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Apollon
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.3
Dila Gori
Overall
4.4
Scoring
5.2
Defence
4.8
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
23.07.26UECL
Dila Gori0
Apollon4
Recent Form
Apollon
23.07.26UECL
Dila Gori0
Apollon4
W
16.07.26CF
Apollon0
AEK Larnaca0
D
11.07.26CF
G.A. Eagles0
Apollon3
W
07.07.26CF
Utrecht0
Apollon1
W
29.05.26CUP
Apollon0
Pafos2
L
22.05.26CL
Omonia5
Apollon2
L
16.05.26CL
Apollon3
Aris2
W
10.05.26CL
Apollon2
APOEL0
W
06.05.26CL
AEK Larnaca1
Apollon0
L
03.05.26CL
Apollon2
Pafos1
W
Dila Gori
25.07.26CUP
Iberia 20100
Dila Gori1
W
23.07.26UECL
Dila Gori0
Apollon4
L
16.07.26UECL
Virtus1
Dila Gori0
L
09.07.26UECL
Dila Gori3
Virtus1
W
27.06.26SC
Dila Gori0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
L
22.06.26EL1
Dila Gori3
Rustavi0
W
16.06.26EL1
Dila Gori3
Spaeri1
W
12.06.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Dila Gori2
L
29.05.26EL1
Dila Gori2
Samgurali3
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Apollon host Dila Gori at Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi) in Conference League Qualifiers. We recommend Apollon to win as the standout selection.

Apollon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dila Gori are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 5L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Apollon, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Dila Gori's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: apollon to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Conference League Qualifiers preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.36, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 6:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Apollon vs Dila Gori?
Our selection is 1 — Apollon to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Apollon's current form?
Apollon have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dila Gori been performing recently?
Dila Gori have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Apollon lead with 1 wins versus Dila Gori's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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