PENDING
Result: 2 — Ludogorets to win
DirectWinPredict Bulgaria EFBET League Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
D

Dunav Ruse

Home Side
L D D D L
2W 4D 4L
VS
5:00 pm
Bulgaria EFBET League
L
Ludogorets
Away Side
L W W W D
5W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Ludogorets to win — Monday, 27th July 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 57%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Ludogorets to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals63%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-18.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Dunav Ruse
2
Draws
7
Ludogorets
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Ludogorets won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dunav Ruse
Metric
Ludogorets
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheet %
44%
2-4-4
W — D — L
5-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
20%
56%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
D0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 10.8%
0-2 7.8%
0-3 3.8%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.4%
D1
1-0 8.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
D2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
D3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (10.8%) 1-2 (9.0%) 0-2 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Dunav Ruse Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Ludogorets Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Dunav Ruse
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
Ludogorets
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.2
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.05.20CF
Ludogorets4
Dunav Ruse0
08.03.201L
Ludogorets5
Dunav Ruse1
29.09.191L
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets1
16.12.181L
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets2
02.09.181L
Ludogorets3
Dunav Ruse1
04.12.171L
Ludogorets2
Dunav Ruse0
20.08.171L
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets5
12.05.171L
Dunav Ruse2
Ludogorets2
09.04.171L
Ludogorets0
Dunav Ruse1
18.03.171L
Ludogorets2
Dunav Ruse2
Recent Form
Dunav Ruse
17.07.261L
Levski Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
L
11.07.26CF
Cherno More1
Dunav Ruse1
D
01.07.26CF
Dunav Ruse1
Dobrudzha1
D
27.06.26CF
Spartak Varna0
Dunav Ruse0
D
20.06.26CF
Dunav Ruse1
Lok. Gorna2
L
23.05.262L
Minyor Pernik1
Dunav Ruse2
W
15.05.262L
Dunav Ruse0
Yantra Gabrovo1
L
11.05.262L
Fratria2
Dunav Ruse2
D
02.05.262L
Dunav Ruse2
Sevlievo0
W
26.04.262L
Svoge3
Dunav Ruse2
L
Ludogorets
23.07.26UECL
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Ludogorets0
L
18.07.261L
Ludogorets1
Lok. Plovdiv0
W
10.07.26CF
Ludogorets1
Teuta0
W
10.07.26CF
Ludogorets1
Septemvri Sofia0
W
04.07.26CF
Ludogorets2
FC Botosani2
D
26.06.26CF
Ludogorets7
Etar4
W
25.05.261L
Ludogorets1
CSKA Sofia0
W
16.05.261L
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Ludogorets0
L
13.05.261L
Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 27th July 2026, Dunav Ruse host Ludogorets at Gradski stadion (Ruse) in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend Ludogorets to win as the standout selection.

Dunav Ruse arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ludogorets are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 2L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dunav Ruse, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Ludogorets's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ludogorets to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Bulgaria EFBET League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Gradski stadion (Ruse), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.32, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets?
Our selection is 2 — Ludogorets to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Dunav Ruse's current form?
Dunav Ruse have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ludogorets been performing recently?
Ludogorets have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dunav Ruse lead with 1 wins versus Ludogorets's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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