PENDING
Result: 1 — Adelaide Olympic to win
DirectWinPredict Australia SA State League Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
A

Adelaide Olympic

Home Side
W W L W L
6W 0D 4L
VS
11:00 am
Australia SA State League
S
South Adelaide
Away Side
D L L L L
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Adelaide Olympic to win — Friday, 24th July 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Adelaide Olympic to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-16.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Adelaide Olympic
3
Draws
0
South Adelaide
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Adelaide Olympic won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Adelaide Olympic
Metric
South Adelaide
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-0-4
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 1-0 (8.1%) 2-0 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Adelaide Olympic Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
South Adelaide Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Adelaide Olympic
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
South Adelaide
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.05.26SASL
South Adelaide2
Adelaide Olympic0
21.06.25SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
South Adelaide1
21.03.25SASL
South Adelaide0
Adelaide Olympic1
03.08.24APL
Adelaide Olympic1
South Adelaide0
10.05.24APL
South Adelaide1
Adelaide Olympic2
27.05.23APL
South Adelaide3
Adelaide Olympic3
04.03.23APL
Adelaide Olympic0
South Adelaide3
02.07.22APL
South Adelaide3
Adelaide Olympic3
02.04.22APL
Adelaide Olympic4
South Adelaide0
17.07.21APL
South Adelaide2
Adelaide Olympic2
Recent Form
Adelaide Olympic
18.07.26SASL
Adelaide Atletico0
Adelaide Olympic1
W
03.07.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Salisbury Utd.0
W
27.06.26SASL
Modbury Jets4
Adelaide Olympic1
L
20.06.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cove FC0
W
12.06.26SASL
Eastern United2
Adelaide Olympic1
L
06.06.26SASL
Blue Eagles1
Adelaide Olympic2
W
29.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic4
Fulham Utd.0
W
23.05.26SASL
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3
Adelaide Olympic1
L
17.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cumberland Utd.1
W
08.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Adelaide Cobras0
W
South Adelaide
18.07.26SASL
South Adelaide2
Cove FC2
D
04.07.26SASL
Blue Eagles4
South Adelaide1
L
27.06.26SASL
South Adelaide0
Fulham Utd.1
L
20.06.26SASL
Cumberland Utd.5
South Adelaide1
L
13.06.26SASL
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3
South Adelaide2
L
06.06.26SASL
South Adelaide0
Adelaide Cobras2
L
30.05.26SASL
South Adelaide1
Eastern United1
D
23.05.26SASL
Adelaide Atletico1
South Adelaide1
D
16.05.26SASL
South Adelaide2
Salisbury Utd.0
W
09.05.26SASL
Modbury Jets4
South Adelaide1
L
Adelaide Olympic (Home)
03.07.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Salisbury Utd.0
W
20.06.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cove FC0
W
29.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic4
Fulham Utd.0
W
17.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cumberland Utd.1
W
08.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Adelaide Cobras0
W
24.04.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic3
Blue Eagles0
W
17.04.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Adelaide Atletico2
L
27.03.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Modbury Jets1
D
13.03.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Eastern United1
W
16.08.25SASL
Adelaide Olympic4
Adelaide Vipers1
W
South Adelaide (Away)
04.07.26SASL
Blue Eagles4
South Adelaide1
L
20.06.26SASL
Cumberland Utd.5
South Adelaide1
L
13.06.26SASL
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3
South Adelaide2
L
23.05.26SASL
Adelaide Atletico1
South Adelaide1
D
09.05.26SASL
Modbury Jets4
South Adelaide1
L
18.04.26SASL
Cove FC2
South Adelaide1
L
28.03.26SASL
Fulham Utd.6
South Adelaide1
L
07.03.26SASL
Adelaide Cobras4
South Adelaide0
L
28.02.26SASL
Eastern United5
South Adelaide2
L
16.08.25SASL
Pontian Eagles1
South Adelaide3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 24th July 2026, Adelaide Olympic host South Adelaide at N/A in Australia SA State League. We recommend Adelaide Olympic to win as the standout selection.

Adelaide Olympic arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

South Adelaide are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Adelaide Olympic, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to South Adelaide's 0, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: adelaide olympic to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Australia SA State League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.35, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 11:00 am.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide?
Our selection is 1 — Adelaide Olympic to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Adelaide Olympic's current form?
Adelaide Olympic have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has South Adelaide been performing recently?
South Adelaide have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Adelaide Olympic lead with 7 wins versus South Adelaide's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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