PENDING
Result: 2 — San Lorenzo W to win
DirectWinPredict Argentina Primera Women Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
L

Lanus W

Home Side
D L L W D
3W 3D 4L
VS
7:00 pm
Argentina Primera Women
S
San Lorenzo W
Away Side
W W W W D
8W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing San Lorenzo W to win — Wednesday, 22nd July 2026
Best Odds 1.37
Confidence 66%
Implied Prob 73%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — San Lorenzo W to win
1.37
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No75% San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
73%
Based on 1.37 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Lanus W
0
Draws
3
San Lorenzo W
4
Meetings
75%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
5.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick San Lorenzo W won 3 of 4 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Lanus W
Metric
San Lorenzo W
0.8
Goals For / Game
1.9
1
Goals Against / Game
0.3
30%
Clean Sheet %
70%
3-3-4
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
30%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0 13.5%
0-1 19.6%
0-2 14.2%
0-3 6.9%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 0.7%
L1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
L2
2-0 2.1%
2-1 3.0%
2-2 2.2%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 0.4%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (19.6%) 0-2 (14.2%) 1-2 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Lanus W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
San Lorenzo W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Lanus W
Overall
3.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.7
San Lorenzo W
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
9.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 47%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 43%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
20.05.23PA
Lanus W2
San Lorenzo1
11.09.22PA
Lanus W1
San Lorenzo6
27.08.21PA
San Lorenzo W6
Lanus0
17.04.21PA
Lanus W1
San Lorenzo5
Recent Form
Lanus W
12.07.26PA
Talleres Cordoba W1
Lanus W1
D
08.07.26PA
Lanus W0
Ferro W1
L
05.07.26PA
Boca Juniors W1
Lanus W0
L
27.06.26PA
Social Atletico Television W0
Lanus W2
W
20.06.26PA
Lanus W1
San Luis W1
D
13.06.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W0
Lanus W1
W
23.05.26PA
Lanus W0
Independiente W1
L
15.05.26PA
Huracan W0
Lanus W0
D
09.05.26PA
Lanus W3
Belgrano W2
W
04.05.26PA
River Plate W3
Lanus W0
L
San Lorenzo W
13.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W1
San Luis W0
W
08.07.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W1
San Lorenzo W2
W
04.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
W
29.06.26PA
Huracan W0
San Lorenzo W1
W
19.06.26PA
San Lorenzo W0
Belgrano W0
D
14.06.26PA
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
W
22.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Banfield W0
W
17.05.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo W4
W
08.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W5
Newells Old Boys W0
W
03.05.26PA
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
L
Lanus W (Home)
08.07.26PA
Lanus W0
Ferro W1
L
20.06.26PA
Lanus W1
San Luis W1
D
23.05.26PA
Lanus W0
Independiente W1
L
09.05.26PA
Lanus W3
Belgrano W2
W
25.04.26PA
Lanus W0
Banfield W2
L
21.03.26PA
Lanus W0
Newells Old Boys W1
L
25.11.23PA
Lanus W1
Gimnasia L.P. W1
D
15.10.23PA
Lanus W0
Racing Club W3
L
09.09.23PA
Lanus W1
CA Estudiantes W2
L
02.09.23PA
Lanus W0
Boca Juniors W3
L
San Lorenzo W (Away)
08.07.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W1
San Lorenzo W2
W
29.06.26PA
Huracan W0
San Lorenzo W1
W
14.06.26PA
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
W
17.05.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo W4
W
03.05.26PA
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
L
20.03.26PA
Ferro W0
San Lorenzo W1
W
04.10.25COP
Sao Paulo W2
San Lorenzo W0
L
22.09.25PA
Talleres Cordoba W1
San Lorenzo W3
W
05.09.25PA
Gimnasia L.P. W0
San Lorenzo W0
D
25.08.25PA
Rosario Central W1
San Lorenzo W0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 22nd July 2026, Lanus W host San Lorenzo W at N/A in Argentina Primera Women. We recommend San Lorenzo W to win as the standout selection.

Lanus W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

San Lorenzo W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Lanus W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to San Lorenzo W's 3, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: san lorenzo w to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Argentina Primera Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.37, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W?
Our selection is 2 — San Lorenzo W to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Lanus W's current form?
Lanus W have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Lorenzo W been performing recently?
San Lorenzo W have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lanus W lead with 1 wins versus San Lorenzo W's 3, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
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