PENDING
Result: 1 — Haukar to win
DirectWinPredict Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
H

Haukar

Home Side
W W D W L
7W 2D 1L
VS
8:15 pm
Iceland Division 2
T
Throttur Vogar
Away Side
W L W L L
3W 1D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Haukar to win — Friday, 17th July 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Haukar to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-25.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Haukar
0
Draws
8
Throttur Vogar
11
Meetings
73%
BTTS Rate
82%
Over 2.5
3.7
Avg Goals
Against Pick Haukar won 3 of the last 11 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Haukar
Metric
Throttur Vogar
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheet %
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
H0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 3.4%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 7.7%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
H2
2-0 5.9%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
H3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 5.1%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
H4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.9%
4-2 2.9%
4-3 1.5%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
H5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.9%) 3-1 (6.8%) 2-0 (5.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Haukar Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Throttur Vogar Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Haukar
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
5.7
Throttur Vogar
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
3.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
01.05.26D2
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar1
23.08.25D2
Haukar0
Throttur Vogar1
14.06.25D2
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar0
14.09.24D2
Throttur Vogar3
Haukar0
03.07.24D2
Haukar3
Throttur Vogar5
24.07.23D2
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar1
05.05.23D2
Haukar4
Throttur Vogar1
06.08.21D2
Haukar1
Throttur Vogar2
30.05.21D2
Throttur Vogar4
Haukar1
28.08.20D2
Haukar3
Throttur Vogar2
03.07.20D2
Throttur Vogar1
Haukar2
Recent Form
Haukar
12.07.26D2
Magni2
Haukar5
W
01.07.26D2
Haukar4
Kari1
W
26.06.26D2
Selfoss2
Haukar2
D
20.06.26D2
Haukar1
Olafsvik0
W
14.06.26D2
Dalvik/Reynir3
Haukar0
L
10.06.26D2
Haukar2
Kormakur/Hvot2
D
05.06.26D2
Hviti0
Haukar2
W
31.05.26D2
Haukar3
KFA2
W
21.05.26D2
KFG Gardabaer0
Haukar4
W
15.05.26D2
Haukar3
Fjolnir1
W
Throttur Vogar
12.07.26D2
Throttur Vogar5
KFG Gardabaer1
W
04.07.26D2
Magni4
Throttur Vogar3
L
26.06.26D2
Throttur Vogar3
Fjolnir2
W
19.06.26D2
Throttur Vogar1
Kari4
L
15.06.26D2
Selfoss3
Throttur Vogar1
L
10.06.26D2
Throttur Vogar1
Olafsvik2
L
06.06.26D2
Dalvik/Reynir1
Throttur Vogar0
L
31.05.26D2
Throttur Vogar1
Kormakur/Hvot1
D
23.05.26D2
Hviti2
Throttur Vogar0
L
14.05.26D2
Throttur Vogar2
KFA0
W
Haukar (Home)
01.07.26D2
Haukar4
Kari1
W
20.06.26D2
Haukar1
Olafsvik0
W
10.06.26D2
Haukar2
Kormakur/Hvot2
D
31.05.26D2
Haukar3
KFA2
W
15.05.26D2
Haukar3
Fjolnir1
W
09.05.26D2
Haukar6
Magni1
W
30.03.26CUP
Haukar3
KFR0
W
06.09.25D2
Haukar0
Grotta6
L
23.08.25D2
Haukar0
Throttur Vogar1
L
09.08.25D2
Haukar0
Aegir4
L
Throttur Vogar (Away)
04.07.26D2
Magni4
Throttur Vogar3
L
15.06.26D2
Selfoss3
Throttur Vogar1
L
06.06.26D2
Dalvik/Reynir1
Throttur Vogar0
L
23.05.26D2
Hviti2
Throttur Vogar0
L
09.05.26D2
KFG Gardabaer3
Throttur Vogar1
L
13.09.25D2
Grotta2
Throttur Vogar0
L
30.08.25D2
Kormakur/Hvot0
Throttur Vogar2
W
23.08.25D2
Haukar0
Throttur Vogar1
W
13.08.25D2
Aegir1
Throttur Vogar2
W
30.07.25D2
KFG Gardabaer4
Throttur Vogar3
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Haukar host Throttur Vogar at N/A in Iceland Division 2. We recommend Haukar to win as the standout selection.

Haukar arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Throttur Vogar are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Haukar, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Throttur Vogar's 8, with 0 draws from 11 encounters. Both teams have scored in 73% of those meetings.

Our verdict: haukar to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Iceland Division 2 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.32, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 8:15 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Haukar vs Throttur Vogar?
Our selection is 1 — Haukar to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Haukar's current form?
Haukar have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Throttur Vogar been performing recently?
Throttur Vogar have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Haukar lead with 3 wins versus Throttur Vogar's 8, with 0 draws across 11 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 73%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.