PENDING
Result: 1 — Palmeiras U20 to win
DirectWinPredict Brasileiro U20 Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
P

Palmeiras U20

Home Side
D W W L W
7W 2D 1L
VS
8:00 pm
Brasileiro U20
C
Corinthians U20
Away Side
W L W L D
6W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Palmeiras U20 to win — Thursday, 16th July 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 74.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Palmeiras U20 to win
1.34
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
74.6%
Based on 1.34 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-7.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
9
Palmeiras U20
1
Draws
0
Corinthians U20
10
Meetings
30%
BTTS Rate
30%
Over 2.5
2.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Palmeiras U20 won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Palmeiras U20
Metric
Corinthians U20
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
60%
Clean Sheet %
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
70%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
P0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 8.3%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
P2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
P3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 1-0 (8.3%) 2-0 (7.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Palmeiras U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Corinthians U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Palmeiras U20
Overall
7.6
Scoring
9.7
Defence
7.3
Corinthians U20
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.07.26BRA
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
19.05.26BRA
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
05.07.25PAU
Palmeiras U203
Corinthians U200
24.04.25BRA
Palmeiras U202
Corinthians U200
20.10.24PAU
Palmeiras U202
Corinthians U201
12.10.24PAU
Corinthians U201
Palmeiras U201
09.04.24BRA
Palmeiras U202
Corinthians U200
16.08.23BRA
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
06.08.23BRA
Palmeiras U205
Corinthians U201
25.09.22BRA
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Recent Form
Palmeiras U20
11.07.26PAU
Palmeiras U202
Capivariano U202
D
08.07.26BRA
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
W
05.07.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Palmeiras U201
W
01.07.26BRA
Palmeiras U201
Cuiaba U203
L
27.06.26PAU
Palmeiras U204
Guarani U200
W
25.06.26BRA
Fluminense U200
Palmeiras U203
W
20.06.26BRA
Palmeiras U207
America MG U201
W
16.06.26BRA
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
W
13.06.26PAU
Palmeiras U202
Osasco Audax U200
W
11.06.26BRA
Palmeiras U202
Santos U202
D
Corinthians U20
12.07.26PAU
Portuguesa U200
Corinthians U202
W
08.07.26BRA
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
L
05.07.26PAU
Corinthians U201
Sertaozinho U200
W
01.07.26BRA
Juventude U201
Corinthians U200
L
28.06.26PAU
Santos U200
Corinthians U200
D
25.06.26BRA
Corinthians U202
Flamengo RJ U202
D
20.06.26BRA
Cruzeiro U201
Corinthians U202
W
17.06.26BRA
Corinthians U202
Vitoria U201
W
13.06.26PAU
Corinthians U202
Portuguesa Santista U200
W
10.06.26BRA
Corinthians U206
Avai U202
W
Palmeiras U20 (Home)
11.07.26PAU
Palmeiras U202
Capivariano U202
D
01.07.26BRA
Palmeiras U201
Cuiaba U203
L
27.06.26PAU
Palmeiras U204
Guarani U200
W
20.06.26BRA
Palmeiras U207
America MG U201
W
13.06.26PAU
Palmeiras U202
Osasco Audax U200
W
11.06.26BRA
Palmeiras U202
Santos U202
D
15.05.26BRA
Palmeiras U202
Vitoria U202
D
12.05.26BRA
Palmeiras U203
Avai U200
W
25.04.26BRA
Palmeiras U201
Juventude U201
D
22.04.26BRA
Palmeiras U202
Vasco U202
D
Corinthians U20 (Away)
12.07.26PAU
Portuguesa U200
Corinthians U202
W
01.07.26BRA
Juventude U201
Corinthians U200
L
28.06.26PAU
Santos U200
Corinthians U200
D
20.06.26BRA
Cruzeiro U201
Corinthians U202
W
05.06.26PAU
Mirassol U200
Corinthians U201
W
28.05.26BRA
RB Bragantino U203
Corinthians U203
D
13.05.26BRA
Cuiaba U200
Corinthians U202
W
26.04.26BRA
Sao Paulo U200
Corinthians U201
W
22.04.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Corinthians U202
W
07.04.26BRA
Botafogo U201
Corinthians U201
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 16th July 2026, Palmeiras U20 host Corinthians U20 at Arena Barueri (Barueri) in Brasileiro U20. We recommend Palmeiras U20 to win as the standout selection.

Palmeiras U20 arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Corinthians U20 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Palmeiras U20, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Corinthians U20's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: palmeiras u20 to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Brasileiro U20 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Arena Barueri (Barueri), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.34, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 8:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20?
Our selection is 1 — Palmeiras U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Palmeiras U20's current form?
Palmeiras U20 have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Corinthians U20 been performing recently?
Corinthians U20 have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Palmeiras U20 lead with 9 wins versus Corinthians U20's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.