PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict China Super League Zhejiang Professional vs Qingdao Hainiu
Z

Zhejiang Professional

Home Side
L L L W L
4W 2D 3L
VS
12:35 pm
China Super League
Q
Qingdao Hainiu
Away Side
D W W L L
4W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Tuesday, 14th July 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 76%
Implied Prob 72.5%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals78% Over 1.5 Goals94% BTTS — Yes84%
Implied Prob
72.5%
Based on 1.38 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+3.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
12.8%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Zhejiang Professional
3
Draws
1
Qingdao Hainiu
9
Meetings
56%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 67% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Zhejiang Professional
Metric
Qingdao Hainiu
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.8
11%
Clean Sheet %
0%
4-2-3
W — D — L
4-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
44%
44%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
Q0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
Z0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 3.0%
0-4 1.5%
0-5 0.6%
Z1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 5.4%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.1%
Z2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.8%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
Z3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
Z4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
Z5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (8.1%) 1-2 (8.1%) 2-1 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Z=Home goals ↓   Q=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Zhejiang Professional
Overall
5.1
Scoring
5.9
Defence
3.7
Qingdao Hainiu
Overall
4.8
Scoring
7.0
Defence
4.1
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 7%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
20.03.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Zhejiang Professional4
22.11.25SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao Hainiu2
25.06.25SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Zhejiang Professional3
03.08.24SL
Zhejiang Professional4
Qingdao Hainiu3
14.04.24SL
Qingdao Hainiu2
Zhejiang Professional0
18.08.23SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Qingdao Hainiu0
19.05.23SL
Qingdao Hainiu2
Zhejiang Professional2
30.08.13SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao Hainiu1
04.05.13SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Zhejiang Professional1
Recent Form
Zhejiang Professional
05.07.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua3
Zhejiang Professional2
L
28.06.26SL
Qingdao West Coast3
Zhejiang Professional1
L
30.05.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen0
Zhejiang Professional2
W
24.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Liaoning Tieren5
L
20.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional4
Shandong Taishan1
W
15.05.26SL
Shanghai Port2
Zhejiang Professional2
D
10.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
D
06.05.26SL
Yunnan Yukun1
Zhejiang Professional2
W
02.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
W
Qingdao Hainiu
05.07.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Chengdu Rongcheng1
D
26.06.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu4
Yunnan Yukun2
W
30.05.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
24.05.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
L
20.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren2
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
15.05.26SL
Beijing Guoan4
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
10.05.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu3
Dalian Yingbo1
W
06.05.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns1
Qingdao Hainiu3
W
02.05.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port1
W
Zhejiang Professional (Home)
24.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Liaoning Tieren5
L
20.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional4
Shandong Taishan1
W
10.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
D
02.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
W
17.04.26SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Beijing Guoan0
D
05.04.26SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
L
14.03.26SL
Zhejiang Professional1
Shanghai Shenhua1
D
08.03.26SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao West Coast0
W
13.02.26CF
Zhejiang Professional2
FC Astana2
D
22.11.25SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao Hainiu2
D
Qingdao Hainiu (Away)
30.05.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
20.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren2
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
15.05.26SL
Beijing Guoan4
Qingdao Hainiu2
L
06.05.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns1
Qingdao Hainiu3
W
22.04.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Qingdao Hainiu0
L
12.04.26SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Qingdao Hainiu1
D
15.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu0
L
07.03.26SL
Yunnan Yukun3
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
22.11.25SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao Hainiu2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 14th July 2026, Zhejiang Professional host Qingdao Hainiu at Huizhou Olympic Stadium (Huizhou) in China Super League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Zhejiang Professional arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Qingdao Hainiu are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 4L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zhejiang Professional, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Qingdao Hainiu's 1, with 3 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this China Super League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Huizhou Olympic Stadium (Huizhou), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.38, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 12:35 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zhejiang Professional vs Qingdao Hainiu?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Zhejiang Professional's current form?
Zhejiang Professional have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches.
How has Qingdao Hainiu been performing recently?
Qingdao Hainiu have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zhejiang Professional lead with 5 wins versus Qingdao Hainiu's 1, with 3 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
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