PENDING
Result: 1X — Breidablik to win or draw
DirectWinPredict Iceland Besta deild karla Breidablik vs Keflavik
B

Breidablik

Home Side
W W L W D
6W 1D 3L
VS
8:15 pm
Iceland Besta deild karla
K
Keflavik
Away Side
D W D L L
4W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Breidablik to win or draw — Monday, 13th July 2026
Best Odds 1.21
Confidence 80%
Implied Prob 82.6%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Breidablik to win or draw
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes85%
Implied Prob
82.6%
Based on 1.21 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-2.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Breidablik
2
Draws
3
Keflavik
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.1
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Breidablik
Metric
Keflavik
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
60%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
B0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 2.8%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.3%
B1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 6.7%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.6%
B2
2-0 4.4%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.7%
B3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 3.3%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.5%
B4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 3.3%
4-3 2.0%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.3%
B5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 0.9%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (7.8%) 2-2 (7.1%) 1-1 (6.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Breidablik
Overall
6.3
Scoring
9.7
Defence
3.0
Keflavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.04.26BK
Keflavik0
Breidablik0
25.04.24CUP
Keflavik2
Breidablik1
07.03.24CUP
Breidablik4
Keflavik0
20.08.23BK
Breidablik2
Keflavik1
29.05.23BK
Keflavik0
Breidablik0
17.07.22BK
Keflavik2
Breidablik3
19.04.22BK
Breidablik4
Keflavik1
08.01.22FC
Breidablik5
Keflavik2
25.07.21BK
Keflavik2
Breidablik0
23.06.21CUP
Keflavik2
Breidablik0
Recent Form
Breidablik
04.07.26BK
Akranes1
Breidablik2
W
28.06.26CUP
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
W
25.06.26BK
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
L
21.06.26BK
Breidablik3
KA Akureyri1
W
16.06.26BK
Stjarnan4
Breidablik4
D
12.06.26CUP
Aegir0
Breidablik3
W
29.05.26BK
Fram4
Breidablik3
L
22.05.26BK
Breidablik6
KR Reykjavik3
W
17.05.26BK
Valur3
Breidablik2
L
13.05.26CUP
Throttur1
Breidablik2
W
Keflavik
06.07.26BK
Keflavik1
Fram1
D
28.06.26BK
Keflavik3
KR Reykjavik2
W
21.06.26BK
Valur1
Keflavik1
D
14.06.26BK
Keflavik1
Hafnarfjordur2
L
31.05.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar6
Keflavik1
L
22.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Thor Akureyri0
W
17.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Stjarnan1
D
08.05.26BK
Akranes1
Keflavik3
W
03.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
L
26.04.26BK
KA Akureyri1
Keflavik2
W
Breidablik (Home)
28.06.26CUP
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
W
25.06.26BK
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
L
21.06.26BK
Breidablik3
KA Akureyri1
W
22.05.26BK
Breidablik6
KR Reykjavik3
W
08.05.26BK
Breidablik3
Hafnarfjordur3
D
27.04.26BK
Breidablik4
Thor Akureyri0
W
17.04.26BK
Breidablik1
Akranes0
W
25.02.26CUP
Breidablik2
Leiknir3
L
19.02.26CUP
Breidablik1
Hafnarfjordur0
W
11.12.25UECL
Breidablik3
Shamrock Rovers1
W
Keflavik (Away)
21.06.26BK
Valur1
Keflavik1
D
31.05.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar6
Keflavik1
L
08.05.26BK
Akranes1
Keflavik3
W
26.04.26BK
KA Akureyri1
Keflavik2
W
17.04.26BK
Fram3
Keflavik1
L
12.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik3
Keflavik2
L
14.02.26CUP
Vestri2
Keflavik3
W
30.01.26CUP
Stjarnan2
Keflavik1
L
21.09.25D1
Njardvik0
Keflavik3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 13th July 2026, Breidablik host Keflavik at Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur) in Iceland Besta deild karla. We recommend Breidablik to win or draw as the standout selection.

Breidablik arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Keflavik are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Breidablik, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Keflavik's 3, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: breidablik to win or draw at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Iceland Besta deild karla preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.21, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 8:15 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

 

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Breidablik vs Keflavik?
Our selection is 1X — Breidablik to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Breidablik's current form?
Breidablik have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Keflavik been performing recently?
Keflavik have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Breidablik lead with 5 wins versus Keflavik's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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