PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Club Friendly Legia vs Beer Sheva
L

Legia

Home Side
D W W W W
7W 2D 1L
VS
1:00 pm
Club Friendly
B
Beer Sheva
Away Side
D W L L W
6W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Tuesday, 7th July 2026
Best Odds 1.48
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 67.6%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.48
Over 1.5 Goals80% Legia Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
67.6%
Based on 1.48 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+0.4%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
1.3%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Legia
Metric
Beer Sheva
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
60%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-2-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
70%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
L0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 6.8%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
L1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
L2
2-0 5.8%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
L3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.8%) 2-1 (8.7%) 1-2 (8.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Legia
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.3
Beer Sheva
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Legia
02.07.26CF
Nurnberg II2
Legia2
D
27.06.26CF
Bayern II0
Legia2
W
23.05.26EKS
Legia4
Motor Lublin0
W
17.05.26EKS
Lechia Gdansk1
Legia2
W
10.05.26EKS
Termalica B-B.0
Legia1
W
01.05.26EKS
Legia1
Widzew Lodz0
W
26.04.26EKS
Lech Poznan4
Legia0
L
17.04.26EKS
Legia1
Zaglebie0
W
11.04.26EKS
Legia1
Gornik Zabrze1
D
06.04.26EKS
Pogon Szczecin0
Legia2
W
Beer Sheva
05.07.26CF
Omonia2
H. Beer Sheva2
D
01.07.26CF
Radomiak Radom2
H. Beer Sheva3
W
26.05.26SC
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
L
23.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Haifa5
L
19.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
W
15.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
H. Beer Sheva2
W
12.05.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem1
H. Beer Sheva1
D
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
H. Beer Sheva4
W
06.05.26LH
Maccabi Haifa0
H. Beer Sheva1
W
02.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 7th July 2026, Legia host Beer Sheva at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Legia arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Beer Sheva are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.48 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Club Friendly preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.48, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 1:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Legia vs Beer Sheva?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Legia's current form?
Legia have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Beer Sheva been performing recently?
Beer Sheva have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game.
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