PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Club Friendly Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
R

Roskilde

Home Side
W W L L W
4W 2D 4L
VS
5:00 pm
Club Friendly
A
AB Copenhagen
Away Side
W L W W L
7W 0D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Tuesday, 7th July 2026
Best Odds 1.13
Confidence 91%
Implied Prob 88.5%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
88.5%
Based on 1.13 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+2.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
21.8%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Roskilde
3
Draws
3
AB Copenhagen
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Roskilde
Metric
AB Copenhagen
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.3
10%
Clean Sheet %
30%
4-2-4
W — D — L
7-0-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
R0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 4.8%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.9%
R1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.2%
R2
2-0 3.3%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
R3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 2.8%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
R4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
R5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.8%) 1-2 (9.6%) 0-1 (7.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Roskilde
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
AB Copenhagen
Overall
7.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.05.262D
AB Copenhagen1
Roskilde2
01.05.262D
Roskilde2
AB Copenhagen3
27.03.262D
AB Copenhagen2
Roskilde0
12.09.252D
Roskilde4
AB Copenhagen1
24.05.242D
AB Copenhagen3
Roskilde3
19.04.242D
Roskilde1
AB Copenhagen1
04.11.232D
AB Copenhagen1
Roskilde1
08.09.232D
Roskilde2
AB Copenhagen0
13.11.222D
AB Copenhagen3
Roskilde2
06.08.222D
Roskilde3
AB Copenhagen0
Recent Form
Roskilde
06.06.262D
Roskilde3
Hellerup2
W
29.05.262D
Thisted FC1
Roskilde2
W
24.05.262D
Vendsyssel3
Roskilde1
L
16.05.262D
Roskilde0
Naestved1
L
13.05.262D
AB Copenhagen1
Roskilde2
W
08.05.262D
Hellerup1
Roskilde2
W
01.05.262D
Roskilde2
AB Copenhagen3
L
25.04.262D
Roskilde0
Thisted FC1
L
17.04.262D
Naestved0
Roskilde0
D
11.04.262D
Roskilde1
Vendsyssel1
D
AB Copenhagen
06.06.262D
AB Copenhagen3
Thisted FC0
W
29.05.262D
Naestved4
AB Copenhagen1
L
22.05.262D
AB Copenhagen5
Hellerup0
W
17.05.262D
Vendsyssel1
AB Copenhagen2
W
13.05.262D
AB Copenhagen1
Roskilde2
L
08.05.262D
Thisted FC1
AB Copenhagen2
W
01.05.262D
Roskilde2
AB Copenhagen3
W
24.04.262D
AB Copenhagen3
Naestved0
W
18.04.262D
AB Copenhagen0
Vendsyssel2
L
10.04.262D
Hellerup1
AB Copenhagen5
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 7th July 2026, Roskilde host AB Copenhagen at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Roskilde arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

AB Copenhagen are travelling well, with a record of 7W 0D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Roskilde, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to AB Copenhagen's 3, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Club Friendly preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.13, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 91%.
What is Roskilde's current form?
Roskilde have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has AB Copenhagen been performing recently?
AB Copenhagen have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Roskilde lead with 4 wins versus AB Copenhagen's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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