PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict China Super League Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
Q

Qingdao West Coast

Home Side
W W D W D
3W 6D 0L
VS
12:00 pm
China Super League
S
Shanghai Port
Away Side
W W L D W
4W 4D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Saturday, 4th July 2026
Best Odds 1.19
Confidence 94%
Implied Prob 84%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes90%
Implied Prob
84%
Based on 1.19 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+10%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
62.4%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Qingdao West Coast
2
Draws
3
Shanghai Port
5
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
5.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Qingdao West Coast
Metric
Shanghai Port
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.4
0%
Clean Sheet %
20%
3-6-0
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate Comparison
33%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
Q0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
Q1
1-0 6.9%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
Q2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
Q3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
Q4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
Q5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.6%) 2-1 (8.5%) 1-2 (8.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Q=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Qingdao West Coast
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.9
Defence
5.6
Shanghai Port
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 3%
Draw & BTTS Yes 37%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
15.03.26SL
Shanghai Port4
Qingdao West Coast1
26.07.25SL
Shanghai Port2
Qingdao West Coast2
28.03.25SL
Qingdao West Coast3
Shanghai Port3
28.09.24SL
Shanghai Port2
Qingdao West Coast1
18.05.24SL
Qingdao West Coast3
Shanghai Port5
Recent Form
Qingdao West Coast
28.06.26SL
Qingdao West Coast3
Zhejiang Professional1
W
30.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast2
Shanghai Shenhua2
D
24.05.26SL
Yunnan Yukun2
Qingdao West Coast3
W
19.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Beijing Guoan1
D
15.05.26SL
Dalian Yingbo2
Qingdao West Coast3
W
10.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Wuhan Three Towns1
D
05.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
D
01.05.26SL
Shandong Taishan1
Qingdao West Coast1
D
26.04.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
Qingdao West Coast1
D
Shanghai Port
27.06.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Shanghai Port2
W
19.06.26FAC
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
W
29.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren3
Shanghai Port2
L
23.05.26SL
Shanghai Port1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
D
19.05.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port1
W
15.05.26SL
Shanghai Port2
Zhejiang Professional2
D
10.05.26SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
D
06.05.26SL
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
D
02.05.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port1
L
25.04.26SL
Shanghai Port4
Wuhan Three Towns0
W
Qingdao West Coast (Home)
28.06.26SL
Qingdao West Coast3
Zhejiang Professional1
W
30.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast2
Shanghai Shenhua2
D
19.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Beijing Guoan1
D
10.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Wuhan Three Towns1
D
05.05.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
D
22.04.26SL
Qingdao West Coast0
Henan Songshan Longmen0
D
11.04.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Liaoning Tieren1
D
21.03.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
W
22.11.25SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Changchun Yatai0
W
26.10.25SL
Qingdao West Coast2
Chengdu Rongcheng2
D
Shanghai Port (Away)
27.06.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Shanghai Port2
W
19.06.26FAC
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
W
29.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren3
Shanghai Port2
L
19.05.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port1
W
10.05.26SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
D
02.05.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port1
L
17.04.26SL
Shandong Taishan1
Shanghai Port1
D
11.04.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shanghai Port0
L
20.03.26SL
Dalian Yingbo1
Shanghai Port0
L
11.02.26CL
Gangwon0
Shanghai Port0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 4th July 2026, Qingdao West Coast host Shanghai Port at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao) in China Super League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Qingdao West Coast arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Shanghai Port are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Qingdao West Coast, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Shanghai Port's 3, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this China Super League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.19, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 12:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 94%.
What is Qingdao West Coast's current form?
Qingdao West Coast have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 9 matches.
How has Shanghai Port been performing recently?
Shanghai Port have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Qingdao West Coast lead with 0 wins versus Shanghai Port's 3, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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