WON
Result: Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 KA Akureyri
DirectWinPredict Iceland Besta deild karla Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
V

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home Side
L W W W W
8W 0D 2L
VS
3-2
8:15 pm
Iceland Besta deild karla
K
KA Akureyri
Away Side
L L L L L
3W 0D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Vikingur Reykjavik to win — Thursday, 2nd July 2026
Best Odds 1.15
Confidence 66%
Implied Prob 87%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
87%
Based on 1.15 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-21%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
Draws
3
KA Akureyri
10
Meetings
30%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Vikingur Reykjavik won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Vikingur Reykjavik
Metric
KA Akureyri
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheet %
20%
8-0-2
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate Comparison
80%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
V0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
V1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
V3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.1%
V4
4-0 3.9%
4-1 4.7%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 1.9%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (7.8%) 3-1 (7.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Vikingur Reykjavik Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
KA Akureyri Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Vikingur Reykjavik
Overall
8.0
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.0
KA Akureyri
Overall
3.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 51%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.04.26BK
KA Akureyri0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
15.02.26CUP
KA Akureyri2
Vikingur Reykjavik0
22.06.25BK
KA Akureyri0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
13.04.25BK
Vikingur Reykjavik4
KA Akureyri0
21.09.24CUP
KA Akureyri2
Vikingur Reykjavik0
20.07.24BK
KA Akureyri1
Vikingur Reykjavik0
28.04.24BK
Vikingur Reykjavik4
KA Akureyri2
24.02.24CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik1
KA Akureyri1
16.09.23CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik3
KA Akureyri1
25.05.23BK
KA Akureyri0
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Recent Form
Vikingur Reykjavik
28.06.26CUP
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
L
25.06.26BK
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
W
21.06.26BK
Fram0
Vikingur Reykjavik5
W
16.06.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik0
W
12.06.26CUP
Akranes1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
31.05.26BK
Valur1
Vikingur Reykjavik5
W
26.05.26BK
Stjarnan1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
W
22.05.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik5
Hafnarfjordur0
W
17.05.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
13.05.26CUP
Kopavogur0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
KA Akureyri
28.06.26BK
Stjarnan3
KA Akureyri1
L
21.06.26BK
Breidablik3
KA Akureyri1
L
15.06.26BK
KA Akureyri3
Fram4
L
31.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
KA Akureyri3
L
22.05.26BK
KA Akureyri0
Valur1
L
17.05.26BK
Hafnarfjordur1
KA Akureyri2
W
14.05.26CUP
KA Akureyri1
Aegir2
L
10.05.26BK
KA Akureyri2
Vestmannaeyjar0
W
02.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri0
KA Akureyri1
W
26.04.26BK
KA Akureyri1
Keflavik2
L
Vikingur Reykjavik (Home)
16.06.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik0
W
22.05.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik5
Hafnarfjordur0
W
08.05.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik6
Thor Akureyri0
W
27.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Akranes0
W
23.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Stjarnan2
W
10.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Breidablik1
D
29.03.26SC
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Vestri0
W
04.03.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik2
IR Reykjavik0
W
25.02.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Throttur1
W
19.02.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik1
KR Reykjavik0
W
KA Akureyri (Away)
28.06.26BK
Stjarnan3
KA Akureyri1
L
21.06.26BK
Breidablik3
KA Akureyri1
L
31.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
KA Akureyri3
L
17.05.26BK
Hafnarfjordur1
KA Akureyri2
W
02.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri0
KA Akureyri1
W
22.04.26BK
Akranes1
KA Akureyri1
D
04.04.26CUP
Hottur / Huginn0
KA Akureyri5
W
01.03.26CF
Strommen1
KA Akureyri2
W
21.02.26CUP
Njardvik1
KA Akureyri0
L
07.02.26CUP
IR Reykjavik4
KA Akureyri3
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 2nd July 2026, Vikingur Reykjavik host KA Akureyri at Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík) in Iceland Besta deild karla. We recommend Vikingur Reykjavik to win as the standout selection.

Vikingur Reykjavik arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

KA Akureyri are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vikingur Reykjavik, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to KA Akureyri's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vikingur reykjavik to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Iceland Besta deild karla preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 5 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.15, which the numbers settle at around 60,20,20%. The whistle goes at 8:15 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?
Our selection is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has KA Akureyri been performing recently?
KA Akureyri have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 6 wins versus KA Akureyri's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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