PENDING
Result: 1 — HJS W to win
DirectWinPredict Finland Kansallilen Women HJS W vs TPS W
H

HJS W

Home Side
L W W L W
6W 0D 4L
VS
1:00 pm
Finland Kansallilen Women
T
TPS W
Away Side
L W D D L
1W 3D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing HJS W to win — Sunday, 28th June 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 74.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HJS W to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
74.6%
Based on 1.34 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-21.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
HJS W
0
Draws
1
TPS W
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data HJS W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
HJS W
Metric
TPS W
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-0-4
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
H0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
H2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
H3
3-0 5.2%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.7%) 1-0 (7.8%) 2-0 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
HJS W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
TPS W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
HJS W
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
TPS W
Overall
1.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
2.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
20.04.26KY
TPS0
HJS1
19.06.24CUP
HJS2
TPS3
Recent Form
HJS W
14.06.26KY
Keski-Uusimaa2
HJS1
L
06.06.26KY
HJS2
JyPK1
W
02.06.26KY
HJS4
KTP0
W
23.05.26KY
Honka1
HJS0
L
17.05.26KY
HJS3
HJK Akatemia2
W
10.05.26KY
ONS Oulu2
HJS1
L
02.05.26KY
HJS0
EBK3
L
25.04.26KY
Lahti0
HJS2
W
20.04.26KY
TPS0
HJS1
W
12.04.26KY
HJS4
Keski-Uusimaa3
W
TPS W
24.06.26KY
HJK Akatemia4
TPS1
L
05.06.26KY
TPS2
EBK0
W
31.05.26KY
TPS0
Honka0
D
23.05.26KY
ONS Oulu1
TPS1
D
17.05.26KY
KTP2
TPS1
L
09.05.26KY
Keski-Uusimaa3
TPS1
L
02.05.26KY
TPS4
Lahti4
D
25.04.26KY
JyPK4
TPS0
L
20.04.26KY
TPS0
HJS1
L
04.04.26KY
EBK3
TPS1
L
HJS W (Home)
06.06.26KY
HJS2
JyPK1
W
02.06.26KY
HJS4
KTP0
W
17.05.26KY
HJS3
HJK Akatemia2
W
02.05.26KY
HJS0
EBK3
L
12.04.26KY
HJS4
Keski-Uusimaa3
W
21.03.26KY
HJS5
Honka1
W
19.06.24CUP
HJS2
TPS3
L
04.09.13KY
HJS3
TJK1
W
25.08.13KY
HJS1
Kuusysi Lahti0
W
18.08.13KY
HJS0
Merilappi10
L
TPS W (Away)
24.06.26KY
HJK Akatemia4
TPS1
L
23.05.26KY
ONS Oulu1
TPS1
D
17.05.26KY
KTP2
TPS1
L
09.05.26KY
Keski-Uusimaa3
TPS1
L
25.04.26KY
JyPK4
TPS0
L
04.04.26KY
EBK3
TPS1
L
29.03.26KY
Honka4
TPS0
L
18.10.25KY
RoPS Rovaniemi1
TPS6
W
28.09.25KY
ONS Oulu2
TPS1
L
12.09.25KY
Lahti3
TPS2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, HJS W host TPS W at Pullerin kenttä (Hämeenlinna) in Finland Kansallilen Women. We recommend HJS W to win as the standout selection.

HJS W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

TPS W are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour HJS W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to TPS W's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hjs w to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Finland Kansallilen Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Pullerin kenttä (Hämeenlinna), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.34, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 1:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HJS W vs TPS W?
Our selection is 1 — HJS W to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is HJS W's current form?
HJS W have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has TPS W been performing recently?
TPS W have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HJS W lead with 1 wins versus TPS W's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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